Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceP M J Doyle: 18% from 50
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 17.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−17.6
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+11.0
n=7 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −2.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−17.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
53.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +5.15
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.8%−5.8
n=17 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −11.30
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+2.4
n=10 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −5.75
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle47817%−23.05
Chase4125%−1.80
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft22313.6%−13.25
Good15426.7%−1.80
Good to Soft9222.2%−4.80
Heavy500%−5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Tramore6116.7%−1.50
Thurles6116.7%−3.00
Clonmel5120%−3.00
Fairyhouse5240%−0.55
Cork500%−5.00
Killarney4125%−0.50
Kilbeggan3133.3%+1.50
Naas3133.3%−1.00
Listowel200%−2.00
Tipperary200%−2.00
Roscommon2150%+0.20
Punchestown200%−2.00
Ballinrobe200%−2.00
Limerick100%−1.00
Galway100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 110220%−5.75
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14750%1.37+4.15
2nd–3rd fav12216.7%1.00−4.00
4th–6th fav1800%0.00−18.00
7th+ in betting700%0.00−7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f19315.8%−9.00
2m5f – 3m16212.5%−8.50
1m5f – 2m15320%−8.55
Over 3m11100%+1.20
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
202211436.4%−0.05
20231500%−15.00
202414214.3%−9.00
202510330%+0.20
2026100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4125%+0.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners1317.7%−8.50
5-7 runners13323.1%−4.30
14-16 runners10110%−6.50
8-10 runners8337.5%−0.75
17+ runners7114.3%−4.80
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 13 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
172503394000001150
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
220
Archived wins
9
Pattern / graded wins
£2.13m
Prize money
2008
Best season · 38 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Russian Trigger (GB) — John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Mar 2009 · Listed
£57,010
Crack Away Jack (GB) — Realtime Radio at williamhill.co.uk Hurdle (Limited Handicap) Chepstow · Oct 2008 · Class 2
£31,310
Ouzbeck (FR) — Britannia English Summer National (Handicap Chase) (Listed) Uttoxeter · Jun 2010 · Listed
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,811 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Kalanisi (IRE)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,879 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,879 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 July 2005 to 21 August 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Jack Doyle's strike rate?
Jack Doyle has won 9 of 51 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 17.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Jack Doyle ride most for?
P M J Doyle, with 50 rides since 2022 — 98% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (18%).
What is Jack Doyle's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 51 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Jack Doyle·SR 17.6%·A/E 1.04
KTB
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