Jack Doyle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). When claiming the record reads 15% (313 rides).
The record is strongest at Fontwell (20.3%, n=69) and Chepstow (19.4%, n=67) — all clear of the rider's 12.2% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (2.9% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 15.3% (n=313, Fair A/E 1.14), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 8.6% (n=584, Fair A/E 0.93). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 15% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −72.95 to a £1 stake over 213 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Emma Lavelle supplies 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.1% vs 12.2%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase at Uttoxeter (Mar 2009, £57,010). The standout partner of the record: Qianshan Leader (IRE) — 5 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Nov.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,879 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,879 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 July 2005 to 21 August 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jack Doyle's strike rate?
- Jack Doyle has won 197 of 1,621 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Doyle do best at?
- Fontwell by strike rate: 14 wins from 69 rides (20.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jack Doyle ride most for?
- Emma Lavelle, with 483 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 73 (15.1%).
- What is Jack Doyle's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 1,621 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.