No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceGary Moore: 3.2% from 63
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.5%−1.5
n=40 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −35.67
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.7%−1.3
n=73 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −52.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−4.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Good going6.5% vs 4% · n=31
When claiming2.7% vs 4% · n=73 · A/E 0.33
With Gary Moore3.2% vs 4% · n=63 · A/E 0.37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4724.3%−26.00
Flat2713.7%−22.67
Chase100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good3126.5%−14.67
Good to Firm1218.3%−3.00
Soft900%−9.00
Good to Soft800%−8.00
Heavy700%−7.00
Standard (AW)700%−7.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton10110%−1.00
Fontwell700%−7.00
Lingfield500%−5.00
Huntingdon4125%+8.00
Windsor400%−4.00
Taunton400%−4.00
Sandown300%−3.00
Wincanton300%−3.00
Lingfield (AW)200%−2.00
Leicester200%−2.00
Hamilton200%−2.00
Fakenham200%−2.00
Musselburgh200%−2.00
Kempton (AW)200%−2.00
Worcester200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 53625.6%−15.00
Class 61815.6%−13.67
Class 41300%−13.00
Class 3700%−7.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite600%0.00−6.00
2nd–3rd fav1218.3%0.51−7.67
4th–6th fav2328.7%0.99−2.00
7th+ in betting3400%0.00−34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m2926.9%−8.00
2m1f – 2m4f1900%−19.00
1m2f – 1m4f800%−8.00
6f – 7f8112.5%−3.67
2m5f – 3m500%−5.00
1m – 1m1f300%−3.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2013100%−1.00
20141300%−13.00
20152713.7%−22.67
20161417.1%−5.00
20172015%−8.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6834.4%−42.67
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners2827.1%−11.67
11-13 runners1915.3%−10.00
5-7 runners1500%−15.00
14-16 runners1000%−10.00
17+ runners200%−2.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 40 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00008140020000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Galileo (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Oscar (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Halling (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.
Presenting (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 75 · newest first
The latest 50 of 75 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2013 to 29 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Jason Nuttall's strike rate?
Jason Nuttall has won 3 of 75 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Jason Nuttall ride most for?
Gary Moore, with 63 rides since 2008 — 84% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.2%).
What is Jason Nuttall's Fair A/E?
0.47, from 74 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Jason Nuttall·SR 4%·A/E 0.47
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