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Trainer profile

Noel Wilson

87 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 84 days ago 95% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–87
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=87
8 (9%)
Placed
0.33
Fair A/E
n=87 · 0.28 incl. margin
−85.00
£1 level stake
n=87 at SP · −97.7%
£19,498
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+8.0
n=11 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +0.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 1.8% vs 1.1% · n=56 · A/E 0.47
With a new jockey booking 1.5% vs 1.1% · n=66 · A/E 0.47
In Flat races 1.2% vs 1.1% · n=83 · A/E 0.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 83 1 1.2% −81.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Good 25 0 0% −25.00
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −10.00
Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Ayr 8 0 0% −8.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Redcar 7 0 0% −7.00
Musselburgh 7 0 0% −7.00
Catterick 7 0 0% −7.00
Hamilton 6 1 16.7% −4.00
Thirsk 4 0 0% −4.00
Carlisle 4 0 0% −4.00
Ripon 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Haydock 3 0 0% −3.00
Beverley 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 43 0 0% −43.00
Class 5 27 1 3.7% −25.00
Class 4 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.18 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
7th+ in betting 69 0 0% 0.00 −69.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ellie's De Vega (GB)then Philip Kirby 12 0 5 25 Jul 26
Queenies Pal (GB)then Philip Kirby 9 0 0 16 Jul 26
Breeze Star (IRE)then Linda Perratt 8 0 0 25 Jul 26
Walk On Walk On (IRE)from D Donovan · then Philip Kirby 7 0 1 28 Jul 26
Bobbys Pride (IRE) 7 0 0 19 Jul 26
Causin A Commotion (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 6 0 0 5 Feb 26
U Heat (GB) 6 0 0 11 Oct 25
Nordic Games (GB)from Stuart Williams 4 0 0 27 Jan 26
Gesundheit (GB)from Ed Walker 4 0 0 25 Aug 25
Skinny Malinka (IRE)from Edward Bethell · then Sam England 3 0 0 27 Jun 26
The Young Adonis (GB) 3 0 0 1 Oct 25
Rebelsontherun (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 3 0 0 27 Jun 25
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Stephen Hanlon (3); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Philip Kirby (4) and Ann Duffield (3); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000600000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ryan Sexton 13 0 0% −13.00
Jamie Gormley 12 0 0% −12.00
Sean Kirrane 11 0 0% −11.00
Cam Hardie 8 0 0% −8.00
William Pyle 6 0 0% −6.00
Rhys Elliott 5 0 0% −5.00
Tom Eaves 3 0 0% −3.00
Mark Winn 3 0 0% −3.00
Barry McHugh 2 0 0% −2.00
Alex Jary 2 0 0% −2.00
Billy Garritty 2 0 0% −2.00
Jonny Peate 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
167
Archived wins
£1.01m
Prize money
2008
Best season · 24 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pavershooz (GB) — Giles Insurance Heritage Handicap Ayr · Jul 2009 · Class 2
£25,904
Pavershooz (GB) — Tote Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Heritage Handicap Musselburgh · Jun 2009 · Class 2
£24,924
Nanton (USA) — John Smith's Straight-Mile Championship Final (Handicap) Redcar · Sep 2006 · Class 2
£18,696
Notable horses
Hotham (GB) Dodaa (USA) Demolition (GB) Kinloch Pride (GB) Ingleby Star (IRE) Longroom (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 693 runs since 2008 (101 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.6% from 167. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.8% from 128. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 6.9% from 101.
Palace Pier (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.5% of 581 runs since 2008 (106 horses).
Supremacy (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 553 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.7% from 149.
Sioux Nation (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,866 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 576. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 189.
U S Navy Flag (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,395 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 181.
A'ali (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.9% of 381 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 115.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,515 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 28 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Jul 26 Beverley Walk On Walk On (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Hoof Hustle Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 12/1
25 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Breeze Star (IRE)J: Alex Jary Jimmy Tindall Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 50/1
25 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Ellie's De Vega (GB)J: Billy Garritty Jimmy Tindall Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 5/2F
19 Jul 26 Redcar Bobbys Pride (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Try Racing TV For Free Now Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 100/1
17 Jul 26 Hamilton Brandenburg (GB)J: David Egan Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 1/1F
16 Jul 26 Thirsk Queenies Pal (GB)J: Ryan Sexton Don't Miss Summer Family Days @thirskraces Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 80/1
15 Jul 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)J: Shane Gray Le Veinard 2026. Racing And Info Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 40/1
06 Jul 26 Ayr Ellie's De Vega (GB)J: Ryan Sexton 25% Off Lunch At Western House Hotel HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 5th 4/1C
05 Jul 26 Ayr Bobbys Pride (IRE)J: William Pyle Sunday Roast At westernhousehotel Available Now HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 10th 100/1
04 Jul 26 Beverley Walk On Walk On (IRE)J: Ryan Sexton Happy Birthday Roy Archer HandicapClass 6 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 10/1
27 Jun 26 Newcastle (AW) Skinny Malinka (IRE)J: Ryan Sexton Pertemps Network Educational HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 80/1
20 Jun 26 Doncaster Master Richard (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Free Tips On attheraces.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 3rd 16/1
20 Jun 26 Ayr Ellie's De Vega (GB)J: Barry McHugh Talk To Thompsons HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 10/3
20 Jun 26 Ayr Queenies Pal (GB)J: Mark Winn Dalcon Civil Engineering Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 33/1
19 Jun 26 Ayr Walk On Walk On (IRE)J: Ryan Sexton Outcider HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 40/1
19 Jun 26 Ayr Alpha Platoon (IRE)J: Ryan Sexton Magners Original Cider Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 50/1
11 Jun 26 Catterick Alpha Platoon (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 125/1
08 Jun 26 Carlisle Skinny Malinka (IRE)J: Jamie Gormley Follow Racing TV On X HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 80/1
08 Jun 26 Carlisle Breeze Star (IRE)J: Jamie Gormley Watch Racing TV Live HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 25/1
05 Jun 26 Musselburgh Bobbys Pride (IRE)J: Jamie Gormley Travis Perkins Scotland HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 6 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Wilson's strike rate?
Noel Wilson has won 1 of 87 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Noel Wilson's Fair A/E?
0.33, from 87 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).