Jordan Duchene
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.33). First rides on a horse are a strength: 16% on the first captured pairing (98 rides). Rode mostly for Patrice Quinton — 80% of rides in the window.
In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.33). Patrice Quinton supplied 80% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.5%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly in Class 1 — 2% over 49 rides, 12pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Jean Bart at Auteuil (FR) (Aug 2013, £38,415).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 214 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 214 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2010 to 5 June 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jordan Duchene's strike rate?
- Jordan Duchene has won 30 of 214 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jordan Duchene do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 126 rides (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jordan Duchene ride most for?
- Patrice Quinton, with 171 rides since 2008 — 80% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (13.5%).
- What is Jordan Duchene's Fair A/E?
- 1.33, from 185 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.