Skip to content
Jockey profile

Kevin Dowling

57 rides in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2018
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–57
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=57
15 (26%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=57 · 0.69 incl. margin
−28.00
£1 level stake
n=57 at SP · −49.1%
£64,605
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−8.8
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+5.5
n=7 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −3.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−8.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −1.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.8%+0.0
n=57 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −28.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−8.8
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Alan King 12.2% vs 8.8% · n=41
In Hurdle races 11.9% vs 8.8% · n=42
When claiming 8.8% vs 8.8% · n=57 · A/E 0.81
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 42 5 11.9% −13.00
Flat 14 0 0% −14.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 20 3 15% +0.00
Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 10 1 10% −6.50
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 4 1 25% +1.50
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Cheltenham 5 0 0% −5.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 3 0 0% −3.00
Kempton 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Plumpton 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 1 50% +7.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Exeter 2 1 50% +3.50
Wincanton 2 0 0% −2.00
Towcester 2 1 50% +4.00
Warwick 2 2 100% +6.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 2 14 1 7.1% −5.00
Class 4 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 3 10 4 40% +10.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.62 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 15 3 20% 1.14 +1.50
4th–6th fav 11 1 9.1% 0.99 −2.00
7th+ in betting 25 0 0% 0.00 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.5% completed · 42 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 42 90.5% 1 2 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Tourard Man (IRE) 15 4 6 8 Jul 18
Stoichkhov (IRE) 5 0 2 4 Apr 14
Bastien (FR) 4 1 2 10 Feb 18
Bulfin Island (IRE) 4 0 1 8 Feb 18
Coeur de Lion (GB) 3 0 0 16 Mar 18
Fidux (FR) 3 0 0 9 Jan 18
Miss Crick (GB) 3 0 3 3 Jun 17
Fred Le Macon (FR) 3 0 0 21 Apr 16
Rock On Coco (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Nov 13
Awesome Rosie (GB) 1 0 0 5 Jun 18
Yesandno (IRE) 1 0 1 29 Mar 18
Occasionally Yours (IRE) 1 0 0 22 Feb 18
All 24 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0001125017··0140
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAlan King
72% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 0.93
TrainerRWSR£1
Alan King 41 5 12.2% −12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
5
Archived wins
£64,605
Prize money
2017
Best season · 3 wins
The Tourard Man (IRE) — Don Noble Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jul 2017 · Class 2
£11,696
Bastien (FR) — Weatherbys Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Nov 2017 · Class 3
£6,498
The Tourard Man (IRE) — Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet Handicap Hurdle Warwick · Apr 2017 · Class 3
£6,498
Notable horses
The Tourard Man (IRE) Bastien (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shantou (USA) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,825 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Ivan Denisovich (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,019 runs since 2008 (71 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 192.
Midnight Legend (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,860 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Panoramic (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 12.6% of 516 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.2% from 122.
Clodovil (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 57 · newest first

The latest 50 of 57 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2013 to 8 July 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jul 18 Market Rasen The Tourard Man (IRE)T: Alan King Don Noble Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1
05 Jun 18 Southwell Awesome Rosie (GB)T: Alan King Supreme Bloodstock Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 13/8F
28 May 18 Cartmel The Tourard Man (IRE)T: Alan King Oakmere Homes Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 25.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
12 May 18 Haydock The Tourard Man (IRE)T: Alan King Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 23f · Good · 17 ran 9th 28/1
18 Apr 18 Cheltenham The Tourard Man (IRE)T: Alan King Safran Landing Systems Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24f · Good · 23 ran UR 40/1
29 Mar 18 Towcester Yesandno (IRE)T: Alan King Visit Star Sports In Mayfair Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs)Class 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 5/1
16 Mar 18 Cheltenham Coeur de Lion (GB)T: Alan King Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20.5f · Soft · 23 ran 15th 33/1
22 Feb 18 Huntingdon Occasionally Yours (IRE)T: Alan Blackmore Smarkets Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 40/1
10 Feb 18 Newbury Bastien (FR)T: Alan King Betfair Cash Out Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 12/1
08 Feb 18 Huntingdon Bulfin Island (IRE)T: Alan King Racing UK Jump To It Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 10 ran PU 12/1
09 Jan 18 Taunton Fidux (FR)T: Alan King Greenslade Taylor Hunt Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 3/1
27 Dec 17 Kempton Midnight Tour (GB)T: Alan King 32Red Casino Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24.5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 4/1
26 Dec 17 Wincanton Bastien (FR)T: Alan King Pertemps Network Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 21.5f · Heavy · 11 ran F 5/1
09 Dec 17 Sandown Fidux (FR)T: Alan King Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 8/1
02 Dec 17 Newbury Coeur de Lion (GB)T: Alan King Ladbrokes Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 9/1
30 Nov 17 Towcester Bastien (FR)T: Alan King Weatherbys Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 1st 5/1
12 Nov 17 Sandown Fidux (FR)T: Alan King Play Casino At 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran UR 13/2
12 Nov 17 Sandown Bastien (FR)T: Alan King Atp Tennis At 188bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 3/1J
11 Nov 17 Wincanton Coeur de Lion (GB)T: Alan King Unibet Elite Hurdle (Grade 2 Limited Handicap)Class 1 · 15.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 12/1
28 Oct 17 Cheltenham The Tourard Man (IRE)T: Alan King Pertemps Network Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24f · Good · 17 ran 11th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Dowling's strike rate?
Kevin Dowling has won 5 of 57 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Kevin Dowling's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 57 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).