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Trainer profile

Niall Madden

30 runners in the last 5 seasons · 9 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 300 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–30
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=30
2 (7%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=30 · 0.61 incl. margin
−4.00
£1 level stake
n=30 at SP · −13.3%
£4,640
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%+5.8
n=11 · A/E 3.64 · £1 +15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%+1.2
n=22 · A/E 0.89 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 19 0 0% −19.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 4 1 25% +22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Good 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 5 1 20% +21.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Dundalk (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Wexford 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 4 1 25% 3.57 +22.00
7th+ in betting 23 0 0% 0.00 −23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.5% completed · 19 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 19 89.5% 0 0 1 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Forgetthesurprise (IRE) 6 0 0 30 May 24
Onlyamatteroftime (IRE)then W P Mullins 5 1 2 7 Aug 23
Shaylee (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Sep 22
Coconut Grove (FR)from Harry Fry 3 0 0 22 Sep 25
Red Lodge (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Dec 22
Fit To Be Tied (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Mar 22
Aa Bee See (GB)from David Wachman 3 0 0 1 Feb 22
Ifuknowuknow (IRE)then S G Carey 2 0 0 26 Dec 25
Django Du Pecos (FR)from John E Kiely 1 0 0 31 Mar 22
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000001000000·0
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Miss A B O'Connor 12 0 0% −12.00
Shane O'Callaghan 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Aidan Kelly 5 0 0% −5.00
Tom Madden 2 0 0% −2.00
Donagh O'Connor 1 0 0% −1.00
Mark McDonagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Tom Harney 1 0 0% −1.00
Cian Horgan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
115
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.36m
Prize money
2017
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pass The Ball (IRE) — Kilkenny Racing Festival Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Gowran Park · Oct 2018 · Grade B
£29,500
Ainama (IRE) — www.corkracecourse.ie Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Cork · Nov 2010 · Grade C
£18,525
Ursumman (IRE) — Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Down Royal · Jun 2006
£17,903
Notable horses
Shake The Bucket (IRE) Salesin (GB) Wins Now (GB) Whatever It Takes (IRE) Pass The Ball (IRE) Team Allstar (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Ivawood (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,409 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.9% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 180. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 168.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,628 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,425 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,425 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 26 December 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Dec 25 Leopardstown Ifuknowuknow (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Race And Stay Flat Race16f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 80/1
15 Oct 25 Punchestown Ifuknowuknow (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor BetVictor Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 12/1
22 Sep 25 Listowel Coconut Grove (FR)J: Miss A B O'Connor Treo Eile Retraining Ireland's Racehorses Handicap14f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 150/1
01 Sep 25 Roscommon Coconut Grove (FR)J: Miss A B O'Connor Lecarrow Race10.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 200/1
01 Aug 25 Galway Coconut Grove (FR)J: Miss A B O'Connor Rockshore Refreshingly Irish Race14f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 50/1
30 May 24 Limerick Forgetthesurprise (IRE)J: Tom Harney Free Streaming All Racing At Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 8/1
11 May 24 Cork Forgetthesurprise (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Fraser Rutherford Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24.5f · Good · 18 ran 6th 40/1
30 Aug 23 Bellewstown Forgetthesurprise (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Reddans Of Bettystown Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 22/1
07 Aug 23 Cork Onlyamatteroftime (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Kanturk Handicap Hurdle (80-109)18.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran RO 3/1F
10 Jul 23 Roscommon Onlyamatteroftime (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 2/1
10 Jun 23 Punchestown Onlyamatteroftime (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Anglesey Lodge Equine Hospital (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 1st 25/1
07 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Red Lodge (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Package Maiden12f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 250/1
20 Oct 22 Thurles Red Lodge (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Munster Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 15th 66/1
12 Oct 22 Punchestown Onlyamatteroftime (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Festival 2023 On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 80/1
30 Sep 22 Gowran Park Onlyamatteroftime (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Gowran Park Racing Club Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 16 ran 5th 50/1
26 Sep 22 Roscommon Shaylee (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Boyle Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 150/1
25 Aug 22 Navan Shaylee (IRE)J: Tom Madden Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 3rd Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)14f · Good · 13 ran 12th 50/1
23 Jul 22 Gowran Park Shaylee (IRE)J: Tom Madden Get Galway Races Ready With tote.ie Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)9.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 11th 20/1
29 May 22 Punchestown Forgetthesurprise (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Watch Racing Free Online With Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 12 ran PU 22/1
28 May 22 Punchestown Red Lodge (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boosts Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 18 ran 13th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Niall Madden's strike rate?
Niall Madden has won 1 of 30 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Niall Madden's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 30 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).