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Jockey profile

Lucy Gardner

164 rides in the last 5 seasons · 37 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 16 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–164
Wins / Runs
3%
Strike rate
n=164
35 (21%)
Placed
0.44
Fair A/E
n=164 · 0.37 incl. margin
−89.34
£1 level stake
n=164 at SP · −54.5%
£100k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.44). Rides mostly for Sue Gardner — 100% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 164 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.1% Sue Gardner: 3% from 164
The read

Sue Gardner supplies 100% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3%, A/E 0.44). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (6.7%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 47 rides, 3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the George Smith Horseboxes Handicap Hurdle at Hereford (Dec 2018, £18,768). The standout partner of the record: Bredon Hill Lad (GB) — 9 wins from 41 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−3.0
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.1%+0.1
n=32 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −23.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−3.0
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 6.7% vs 3% · n=30
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3% · n=47
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 3% · n=36
On Heavy going 5.4% vs 3% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 95 3 3.2% −52.34
NH Flat 36 1 2.8% −27.00
Chase 33 1 3% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 46 1 2.2% −23.00
Soft 44 2 4.5% −5.67
Heavy 37 2 5.4% −23.67
Good to Soft 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 49 2 4.1% −35.67
Newton Abbot 21 0 0% −21.00
Chepstow 19 1 5.3% +15.00
Fontwell 17 0 0% −17.00
Ffos Las 8 0 0% −8.00
Taunton 8 0 0% −8.00
Wincanton 8 0 0% −8.00
Bangor-on-Dee 5 0 0% −5.00
Hereford 5 0 0% −5.00
Warwick 3 1 33.3% +1.33
Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Plumpton 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 87 3 3.4% −21.00
Class 4 52 1 1.9% −47.67
Class 3 20 1 5% −15.67
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
2nd–3rd fav 30 2 6.7% 0.41 −21.34
4th–6th fav 51 1 2% 0.32 −42.00
7th+ in betting 75 2 2.7% 1.14 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.5% completed · 128 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 33 66.7% 2 0 9 0 0
Hurdle 95 85.3% 3 1 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Astronomic View (GB) 20 2 10 17 Mar 26
Daring Plan (IRE) 17 1 6 13 Jun 26
Storming Nelson (IRE) 17 1 3 17 Mar 26
Bredon Hill Dart (GB) 13 0 1 14 Apr 26
Lightonthewing (IRE) 9 1 1 23 Nov 25
Testflight (GB) 8 0 1 16 Jun 23
Ourbrowneyedgirl (IRE) 7 0 3 20 Feb 26
Prairie Queen (GB) 5 0 0 19 Feb 26
Rapid River (IRE) 5 0 0 24 Feb 23
Alramz (GB) 5 0 3 8 Dec 22
The Generous Joker (GB) 5 0 0 2 Apr 22
I'm Wide Awake (GB) 4 0 3 27 Mar 26
All 37 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
7340025000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardSue Gardner
100% of all rides
3% SR · A/E 0.44
TrainerRWSR£1
Sue Gardner 164 5 3% −89.34
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
84
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£747k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Coeur Blimey (IRE) — George Smith Horseboxes Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Dec 2018 · Class 2
£18,768
Coeur Blimey (IRE) — Neptune Investment Management Championship Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed) Ascot · Dec 2015 · Listed
£17,085
Flying Award (IRE) — G A Engineering Highland National (Handicap Chase) (For The Julian Llewelyn Palmer Memorial Trophy) Perth · Apr 2013 · Class 3
£12,996
Notable horses
Bredon Hill Lad (GB) Trans Express (IRE) Flying Award (IRE) Tea Time Fred (GB) Here's Herbie (GB) Sirop De Menthe (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mount Nelson (GB) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Schiaparelli (GER) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,833 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Dartmouth (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.8% of 498 runs since 2021 (79 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 195.
Winged Love (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,751 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12% of 2,285 runs since 2016 (287 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,087 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,087 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Moonlight Ballet (GB)T: Susan Gardner Sky Sports Racing Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1
13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Daring Plan (IRE)T: Sue Gardner moogangetsknighted Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 1st 22/1
13 May 26 Newton Abbot Moonlight Ballet (GB)T: Sue Gardner William Hill Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 4th 22/1
14 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Gospel Moon (FR)T: Sue Gardner Newton Abbot Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 200/1
14 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Bredon Hill Dart (GB)T: Sue Gardner Newton Abbot Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 9/2
27 Mar 26 Fontwell I'm Wide Awake (GB)T: Sue Gardner England To Win Tonight 20/1 betstgeorge.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 40/1
27 Mar 26 Fontwell Daring Plan (IRE)T: Sue Gardner betstgeorge.com Top Prices On English Events Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 10/3
18 Mar 26 Hereford Daring Plan (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Richard Layton Charity Day 16th April Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 7 ran 5th 7/2
17 Mar 26 Exeter Storming Nelson (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Oddschecker Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 4/1F
17 Mar 26 Exeter Astronomic View (GB)T: Sue Gardner Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 12/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter I'm Wide Awake (GB)T: Sue Gardner Oddschecker Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 16/1
07 Mar 26 Hereford Saffron Belle (GB)T: Sue Gardner Hereford Easter Monday Family Fun Raceday Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 12th 250/1
06 Mar 26 Exeter Storming Nelson (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Klargester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 15/2
25 Feb 26 Bangor-on-Dee Daring Plan (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Nightingale House Hospice Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J
25 Feb 26 Bangor-on-Dee Astronomic View (GB)T: Sue Gardner Alfa Aggregates Products North Wales National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 29.5f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 6/1
20 Feb 26 Ffos Las Ourbrowneyedgirl (IRE)T: Sue Gardner fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 10 Get 10 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran F 8/1
19 Feb 26 Huntingdon Prairie Queen (GB)T: Sue Gardner Experience Irish Racing With ITM Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 9/2
13 Feb 26 Chepstow Astronomic View (GB)T: Sue Gardner Fairplay Lets Bet On It! Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 15/2
03 Feb 26 Taunton Ourbrowneyedgirl (IRE)T: Sue Gardner www.ledorneyvillascornwall.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 3/1
03 Feb 26 Taunton Storming Nelson (IRE)T: Sue Gardner 24 March Behind The Scenes Raceday Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 17 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lucy Gardner's strike rate?
Lucy Gardner has won 5 of 164 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lucy Gardner do best at?
Exeter by strike rate: 2 wins from 49 rides (4.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lucy Gardner ride most for?
Sue Gardner, with 164 rides since 2022 — 100% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (3%).
What is Lucy Gardner's Fair A/E?
0.44, from 164 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).