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Jockey profile

M P Watts

25 rides in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2008 100% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–25
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=25
3 (12%)
Placed
1.07
n=25 · 0.73 incl. margin
−17.00
£1 level stake
n=25 at SP · −68.0%
£10,526
Prize money (window)

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−4.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4%+0.0
n=25 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −17.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.5%+0.5
n=22 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 23 1 4.3% −15.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 10 1 10% −2.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Good 4 0 0% −4.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 5 1 20% +3.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 1 0 0% −1.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 2.98 +5.00
4th–6th fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
7th+ in betting 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 25 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 2 50% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 23 82.6% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Naujella Girl (IRE) 6 1 2 5 May 08
Hushagoose (IRE) 3 0 0 18 May 08
Calorando (IRE) 3 0 0 11 May 08
Image Of Vermont (IRE) 2 0 0 2 Mar 08
Slyguff Annie (IRE) 2 0 1 20 Feb 08
Drummallor (GB) 1 0 0 18 Jul 08
Keeverfield (IRE) 1 0 0 30 May 08
Gone For Now (IRE) 1 0 0 30 May 08
Oscars Gypsy (IRE) 1 0 0 9 May 08
The Boxer Roche (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Apr 08
Stadium Project (IRE) 1 0 0 24 Mar 08
Professor Jack (IRE) 1 0 0 2 Mar 08
All 14 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Anthony Mullins 8 0 0% −8.00
J G Cosgrave 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Ms Helen P Markham 4 0 0% −4.00
Ian Duncan 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael McCullagh 2 0 0% −2.00
Daniel William O'Sullivan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
18
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£287k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Calorando (IRE) — Murphys Irish Stout Handicap Hurdle Killarney · May 2005 · Grade B
£45,570
Stadium Project (IRE) — Kerryman Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (0-140) Killarney · Jul 2006
£26,040
The Last Stand (GB) — Winter Festival Juvenile 3-y-o Hurdle Fairyhouse · Dec 2005 · Grade 3
£20,832

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Un Desperado (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8% of 377 runs since 2008 (51 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 106.
Green Desert (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 3,324 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.
Humbel (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.1% of 562 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.7% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Accordion (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).
Jamesmead (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 4.4% of 45 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 300 · newest first

The latest 50 of 300 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 18 July 2008.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Apr 08 Fairyhouse Naujella Girl (IRE)T: J G Cosgrave Swords Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 20/1
06 Apr 08 Limerick Calorando (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Www.tote.ie Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 6th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M P Watts's strike rate?
M P Watts has won 1 of 25 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).