Marc-Antoine Billard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.58). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (30 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.27), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=201, Fair A/E 1.40). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 12.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.93 and +121.50 to a £1 stake over 132 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. J Bertran De Balanda supplied 36% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.6% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.65) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 3% over 33 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Leopold d'Orsetti - Grande Course de Haies d'Enghien at Enghien (FR) (Nov 2014, £50,625).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 378 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 378 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 March 2010 to 21 November 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Marc-Antoine Billard's strike rate?
- Marc-Antoine Billard has won 37 of 378 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Marc-Antoine Billard do best at?
- Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 142 rides (13.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Marc-Antoine Billard ride most for?
- J Bertran De Balanda, with 135 rides since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (12.6%).
- What is Marc-Antoine Billard's Fair A/E?
- 1.58, from 364 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.