T Civel
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).
It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (2.7% over 220 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.8% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −56.80 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alexis Acker rode 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.80). The record read poorly off a 0-7-day break — 0% over 33 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.37 across 129 runners (1.6% strike, −110.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Gras Savoye Mediterranee/moyen Orient at Auteuil (FR) (May 2011, £135,776). The stable star of the record was Grand Charly (FR) — 6 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 605 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 605 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 2 November 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is T Civel's strike rate?
- T Civel has won 32 of 530 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does T Civel do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 267 runners (7.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for T Civel?
- Alexis Acker, with 102 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (5.9%).
- What is T Civel's Fair A/E?
- 0.70, from 478 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.