What is Mathieu Carroux's strike rate?

Mathieu Carroux has won 95 of 495 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 19.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mathieu Carroux do best at?

Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 23 wins from 123 rides (18.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mathieu Carroux ride most for?

A Chaille-Chaille, with 445 rides since 2008 — 90% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (20.2%).

What is Mathieu Carroux's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 439 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mathieu Carroux

495 rides in the lifetime window · 175 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2017 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

95–495

Wins / Runs

19.2%

Strike rate

n=495

203 (41%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=439 · 1.04 incl. margin

+39.90

£1 level stake

n=469 at SP · +8.5%

£4.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (83 rides). Rode mostly for A Chaille-Chaille — 90% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 495 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 24.2% 33% when favourite A Chaille-Chaille: 20.2% from 445 First rides: 20% LTO winners: 25.3% Rode the favourite in 20% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25.3% (n=83, Fair A/E 1.16), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 13.6% (n=140, Fair A/E 1.36). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 17.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +29.30 to a £1 stake over 169 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. A Chaille-Chaille supplied 90% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (20.2%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a break of 180+ days (28.3%, n=46). The market has also underrated the rider over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.23 across 366 rides (21.6% strike, +51.30 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 13.5% over 96 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline. 29 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the RMC Prix Cambaceres at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2014, £101,250). The standout partner of the record was Bonito Du Berlais (FR) — 8 wins from 10 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 19.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

20%+0.8

n=175 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +32.20

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25.3%+6.1

n=83 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −7.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

24.2%+5.0

n=124 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +31.10

When favourite

33%

n=100 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −2.60

Big fields · 14+ runners

13.6%−5.6

n=140 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −3.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

17.2%−2.0

n=169 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +29.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a break of 180+ days 28.3% vs 19.2% · n=46

With C&D winners 25.6% vs 19.2% · n=125

On last-time-out winners 25.3% vs 19.2% · n=83

Over 2m5f – 3m 13.5% vs 19.2% · n=96

At Auteuil (FR) 16.7% vs 19.2% · n=318

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 21.6% vs 19.2% · n=366

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 281 54 19.2% +34.80

Chase 206 38 18.4% +9.10

Flat 8 3 37.5% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 293 59 20.1% +44.07

Heavy 175 29 16.6% +4.83

Good to Soft 15 3 20% −4.20

Good 10 4 40% −4.80

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 318 53 16.7% −23.80

Enghien (FR) 123 23 18.7% +18.20

Pau 11 4 36.4% +23.60

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 5 0 0% −5.00

Compiegne 5 2 40% +16.70

Vichy 3 2 66.7% +1.20

Toulouse 3 0 0% −2.00

Saint-Brieuc 2 1 50% +5.20

Saint-Malo 2 1 50% —

Craon 2 1 50% −1.00

Royan La Palmyre 2 2 100% +1.20

Nantes 2 1 50% +6.60

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Angers 2 0 0% −1.00

Clairefontaine 2 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 169 29 17.2% +29.30

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 103 35 34% 1.06 +3.50

2nd–3rd fav 152 29 19.1% 1.16 +39.30

4th–6th fav 137 15 10.9% 1.25 −5.00

7th+ in betting 77 5 6.5% 1.64 +2.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.3% completed · 487 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 206 73.8% 15 0 36 0 3

Hurdle 281 83.3% 11 0 35 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Biloute De Houelle (FR) 16 2 6 22 Mar 15

Lachlan Bridge (GER) 15 5 9 29 Nov 15

Polidam (FR) 13 2 5 13 Nov 16

Love Flight (FR) 11 1 4 23 Nov 14

Bonito Du Berlais (FR) 10 8 10 22 Nov 15

Summary (FR) 10 2 3 29 Oct 11

Tom Roli (FR) 9 2 3 23 Nov 14

My Marlim (FR) 9 0 3 12 Nov 14

Triana Du Berlais (FR) 8 4 5 27 Nov 16

Punchy Style (FR) 8 1 2 28 Sep 16

Marvel Flight (FR) 8 2 3 22 Nov 15

Kahyadam (FR) 8 4 6 8 Nov 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 175 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

501321232319673319211115

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardA Chaille-Chaille

90% of all rides
20.2% SR · A/E 1.16

TrainerRWSR£1

A Chaille-Chaille 445 90 20.2% +58.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.53m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 22 wins

Bonito Du Berlais (FR) — RMC Prix Cambaceres (Grande Course de Haies des 3 Ans) (Hurdle) (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2014 · Grade 1

£101,250

Lachlan Bridge (GER) — Prix Montgomery (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2014 · Grade 3

£65,625

Bonito Du Berlais (FR) — Prix Georges de Talhouet-Roy (Hurdle) (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2014 · Grade 2

£65,625

Notable horses

Bonito Du Berlais (FR) Albert Hall (USA) Lachlan Bridge (GER) Triana Du Berlais (FR) Kahyadam (FR) Shanon Du Berlais (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ballingarry (IRE) 20.8% · 10–48

Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,431 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.

Martaline (GB) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,345 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Trempolino (USA) 30.6% · 11–36

Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,003 runs since 2008 (173 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.5% from 199. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5% from 119.

Roli Abi (FR) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 13% of 238 runs since 2008 (44 horses).

Turgeon (USA) 22.2% · 6–27

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,187 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 267.

Poliglote (GB) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 495 · newest first

The latest 50 of 495 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 May 2009 to 6 March 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Mar 17 Compiegne (FR) Rancunier (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Varaville (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 58/10

06 Mar 17 Compiegne (FR) Beaute Promise (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Spumate (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 131/10

05 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Perfect Impulse (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Robert de Clermont-Tonnerre (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 10 ran F 147/10

05 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Corabella (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Karcimont (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 13 ran RO 56/10

05 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Mo Name (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Rohan (Hurdle) () (4yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 10/1

27 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Triana Du Berlais (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Andre Michel (Hurdle) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 10 ran F 9/2

27 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Perfect Impulse (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Morgex (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 6/1

21 Nov 16 Enghien (FR) Castle Du Berlais (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Roger de Minvielle (Chase) () (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 2/1F

21 Nov 16 Enghien (FR) Santa Dame (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix de Craon (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 29/10

19 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Via Dolorosa (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Huron (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 36/5

19 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Athos Du Mathan (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Elseneur (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 68/10

14 Nov 16 Enghien (FR) Sms Du Berlais (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Lycoming (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 98/10

14 Nov 16 Enghien (FR) Dona Lina (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Speranza (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 18/5

13 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Polidam (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix General Donnio (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 42/10

13 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Perfect Impulse (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Renaud du Vivier (Grande Course de Haies des 4 Ans) (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 226/10

13 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Vahine Du Berlais (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Marc Antony (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 115/10

13 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Corabella (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Sytaj (Chase) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 9/2

07 Nov 16 Enghien (FR) Santa Dame (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix du Comtat Venaissin (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 17/10F

07 Nov 16 Enghien (FR) Well Done D'Oc (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Verdi (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)16.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/2F

06 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Triana Du Berlais (FR)T: A Chaille-Chaille Prix Maurice Gillois Grand Steeple-Chase des 4 ans - Le Parisien (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 59/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mathieu Carroux's strike rate?: Mathieu Carroux has won 95 of 495 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 19.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mathieu Carroux do best at?: Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 23 wins from 123 rides (18.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mathieu Carroux ride most for?: A Chaille-Chaille, with 445 rides since 2008 — 90% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (20.2%).
What is Mathieu Carroux's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 439 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.