What is F-M Cottin's strike rate?

F-M Cottin has won 355 of 3,989 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does F-M Cottin do best at?

Pau by strike rate: 14 wins from 45 runners (31.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for F-M Cottin?

Regis Schmidlin, with 962 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (8.3%).

What is F-M Cottin's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 3,627 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

F-M Cottin

3,989 runners in the lifetime window · 560 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2021 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

355–3,989

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=3,989

934 (23%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=3,627 · 0.90 incl. margin

−588.65

£1 level stake

n=3,739 at SP · −15.7%

£19.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 280 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,989 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 9.9% 28.5% when favourite Regis Schmidlin: 8.3% from 962 Sent off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Pau (31.1%, n=45) and Cagnes-Sur-Mer (19.6%, n=51) — all clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=136, Fair A/E 0.84). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −140.35 to a £1 stake over 403 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Regis Schmidlin rode 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 0.96). 84 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2008, £271,324). The stable star of the record was Corazones (FR) — 8 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.9%+1.0

n=1,010 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +167.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.3%−1.6

n=137 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −86.70

Debutants · first career start

6%−2.9

n=403 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −140.35

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.4%−4.5

n=136 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −62.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.1%−2.8

n=66 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −27.20

When favourite

28.5%

n=193 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +47.65

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−1.9

n=845 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −277.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−0.9

n=910 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −259.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Pau 31.1% vs 8.9% · n=45

With D Gallagher 26.9% vs 8.9% · n=52

On last-time-out winners 16.9% vs 8.9% · n=338

At Cagnes-Sur-Mer 19.6% vs 8.9% · n=51

With Guillaume Javoy 18.2% vs 8.9% · n=33

With C&D winners 13.2% vs 8.9% · n=992

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,218 184 8.3% −264.05

Chase 1,714 163 9.5% −331.00

Flat 57 8 14% +6.40

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,671 245 9.2% −437.30

Heavy 1,253 101 8.1% −124.35

Good to Soft 32 5 15.6% −4.00

Good 17 2 11.8% −14.00

Standard (AW) 14 1 7.1% −8.00

Good to Firm 2 1 50% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 2,902 268 9.2% −253.35

Enghien (FR) 550 29 5.3% −251.30

Compiegne 278 16 5.8% −160.50

Clairefontaine 52 6 11.5% −2.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 51 10 19.6% +21.00

Pau 45 14 31.1% +71.10

Dieppe 37 2 5.4% −26.30

Fontainebleau 17 3 17.6% −7.30

Lyon Parilly 10 1 10% +43.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Deauville (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Touquet 3 0 0% —

Le Lion-D'Angers 3 0 0% −3.00

Argentan 3 2 66.7% +10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 911 73 8% −260.90

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 199 57 28.6% 1.00 +48.05

2nd–3rd fav 562 81 14.4% 0.95 +7.50

4th–6th fav 1,007 97 9.6% 1.26 +143.40

7th+ in betting 1,971 45 2.3% 0.80 −787.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.2% completed · 3,932 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,714 79.8% 113 8 206 0 19

Hurdle 2,218 77% 79 3 366 0 62

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Achour (FR)then T Poche 45 4 12 25 Dec 20

Parigny (FR) 45 4 10 4 May 14

Rasique (FR)then Y Fertillet 44 6 15 14 May 19

Cafertiti (FR) 43 3 15 7 Mar 21

Hawk The Talk (IRE) 41 2 13 13 Apr 17

Pibrac (FR)then C Scandella 40 4 11 8 Jun 14

Corazones (FR)then Louisa Carberry 39 8 20 29 Jun 21

Roxinela (FR) 37 8 16 29 Nov 20

Vapalo (FR) 37 3 9 19 May 18

Curly Basc (FR) 35 6 17 23 Dec 20

Vado Via (FR) 35 1 3 16 May 17

Le Bel Anjou (FR) 35 6 15 25 Jun 15

The 60 most-raced of 560 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from T Civel (3); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Josef Vana (2) and Micky Hammond (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

281867710147119820

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRegis Schmidlin

24% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.96

RiderRWSR£1

Regis Schmidlin 962 80 8.3% −140.90

Damien Mescam 515 29 5.6% −170.90

P A Carberry 434 59 13.6% +92.45

David Cottin 224 28 12.5% −15.40

Jonathan Plouganou 203 20 9.9% +42.90

Kevin Nabet 169 11 6.5% −43.10

Raymond O'Brien 167 20 12% −27.60

Julien Tabary 142 10 7% −75.00

Dylan Ubeda 114 6 5.3% −19.00

David Brassil 113 8 7.1% −51.40

Nicolas Chevreux 99 5 5.1% −77.80

Michael Delmares 81 4 4.9% −2.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

388

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£22.0m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 41 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Princesse D'Anjou (FR) — Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · May 2008 · Grade 1

£271,324

Princesse D'Anjou (FR) — Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · May 2006 · Grade 1

£223,448

Princesse D'Anjou (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2006 · Grade 1

£145,862

Notable horses

Corazones (FR) Roxinela (FR) Rasique (FR) Curly Basc (FR) Le Bel Anjou (FR) Adagio Des Bordes (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Antarctique (IRE) 15.4% · 19–123

Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.

Forestier (FR) 3.5% · 4–115

Progeny have won 8.8% of 454 runs since 2008 (44 horses).

Limnos (JPN) 5.1% · 5–98

Progeny have won 7.9% of 619 runs since 2008 (75 horses).

Dream Well (FR) 7.4% · 7–94

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.2% from 210. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 0% from 111. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 190. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 185.

Discover D'Auteuil (FR) 7.4% · 6–81

Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.

Secret Singer (FR) 9.6% · 7–73

Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 148.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,176 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,176 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 5 July 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Jul 21 Clairefontaine (FR) Furie D'Ainay (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Label Equures (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 48/1

29 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Fury Road (FR)J: Corentin Smeulders Prix d'Acheres (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 9 ran F 27/1

29 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Corazones (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix Dawn Run (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 10/1

23 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Florence (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix Colombelles (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 33/10

23 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Gump Madrik (FR)J: Adrien Merienne Prix du Vesinet (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 178/10

23 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Kalpaga (FR)J: Adrien Merienne Prix Pharaon (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 64/1

21 Jun 21 Compiegne (FR) Hazy Cloud (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix de la Belle Ferroniere (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 39/1

21 Jun 21 Compiegne (FR) Imperium (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Belle Isle (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 33/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Halleluia (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix de Royan (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 11/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Zaltar (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Port Said (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 14/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Dakar (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Carmont (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 10/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Feu Follet Sivola (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix Carmont (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 14/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Furie D'Ainay (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (5-6yo) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 53/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Geryville (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (5-6yo) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 41/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Historiette (FR)J: Adrien Merienne Prix Al Capone II (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 28/1

12 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Corazones (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix la Barka (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 7th 16/1

12 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Great Mix (FR)J: Regis Schmidlin Prix Le Parisien - Prix Gacko (Handicap Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 31/1

10 Jun 21 Dieppe (FR) Galop Du Bosc (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Pierre Jamme (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 23/1

10 Jun 21 Dieppe (FR) Allee Des Eiders (FR)J: Damien Mescam Prix Pierre Jamme (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 51/1

05 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Bellissima Girl (FR)J: Mlle Nathalie Desoutter Prix Bois Rouaud (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 15/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F-M Cottin's strike rate?: F-M Cottin has won 355 of 3,989 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does F-M Cottin do best at?: Pau by strike rate: 14 wins from 45 runners (31.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for F-M Cottin?: Regis Schmidlin, with 962 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (8.3%).
What is F-M Cottin's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 3,627 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.