Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
25%+9.6
n=8 · A/E 1.85 · £1 −1.43
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−15.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
25%+9.6
n=8 · A/E 1.86 · £1 −1.43
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +0.57
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
16.7%+1.3
n=12 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −5.43
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−15.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase11218.2%−4.43
Flat100%−1.00
Hurdle100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good600%−6.00
Good to Soft5240%+1.57
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton3266.7%+3.57
Stratford200%−2.00
Taunton200%−2.00
Newton Abbot100%−1.00
Towcester100%−1.00
Curragh100%−1.00
Fontwell100%−1.00
Aintree100%−1.00
Ludlow100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 57228.6%−0.43
Class 6300%−3.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite11100%1.74+0.57
2nd–3rd fav4125%1.56+1.00
4th–6th fav200%0.00−2.00
7th+ in betting600%0.00−6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m7114.3%−5.43
Over 3m3133.3%+2.00
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008200%−2.00
2009100%−1.00
20125120%+0.00
20132150%−0.43
2014200%−2.00
2024100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps100%−1.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners700%−7.00
5-7 runners22100%+4.57
11-13 runners100%−1.00
14-16 runners100%−1.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 8 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Master Medic (IRE) — Dorothy Hallam Memorial Wessex Area Lady Riders' Series Final Hunters' Chase Wincanton · May 2013 · Class 5
£2,184
Miss Midnight (GB) — 32 Bonus At 32Red.com Wessex Area Lady Riders' Series Final Hunters' Chase Wincanton · May 2012 · Class 5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 788 runs since 2018 (53 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.4% from 167.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 14 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Miss E E MacMahon's 14 archived rides, from 18 December 2007 to 31 August 2024, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss E E MacMahon's strike rate?
Miss E E MacMahon has won 2 of 13 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15.4% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Miss E E MacMahon·SR 15.4%·A/E 1.34
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