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Trainer profile

Joss Saville

196 runners in the lifetime window · 38 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2010
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–196
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=196
31 (16%)
Placed
0.53
Fair A/E
n=196 · 0.45 incl. margin
−147.75
£1 level stake
n=196 at SP · −75.4%
£39,138
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.53). With a claiming rider up the record reads 5% (89 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 196 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4.5%
The read

The yard also read well over 2m5f – 3m (9.1%, n=33) and in Chase races (6.1%, n=49). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.00 across 76 runners (0% strike, −76.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=42 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%+1.9
n=89 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −48.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.1% vs 2.6% · n=33
With Tom Messenger 9.1% vs 2.6% · n=33
In Chase races 6.1% vs 2.6% · n=49
Off a 8-14-day break 6.5% vs 2.6% · n=31
In Class 5 0% vs 2.6% · n=76
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.6% · n=53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 88 1 1.1% −81.50
Chase 49 3 6.1% −12.25
Flat 47 1 2.1% −42.00
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 62 2 3.2% −47.50
Good to Firm 42 0 0% −42.00
Soft 32 1 3.1% −29.25
Good to Soft 29 0 0% −29.00
Standard (AW) 16 1 6.3% −11.00
Heavy 14 1 7.1% +12.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 19 0 0% −19.00
Newcastle 17 1 5.9% +9.00
Hexham 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Uttoxeter 16 0 0% −16.00
Catterick 15 0 0% −15.00
Wetherby 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Bangor-on-Dee 11 0 0% −11.00
Perth 11 0 0% −11.00
Cartmel 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Ayr 7 1 14.3% −4.25
Carlisle 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 81 3 3.7% −40.50
Class 5 76 0 0% −76.00
Class 6 30 1 3.3% −25.00
Class 3 9 1 11.1% −6.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 4 33.3% 2.03 +10.25
4th–6th fav 53 0 0% 0.00 −53.00
7th+ in betting 127 1 0.8% 0.32 −101.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73% completed · 137 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 49 69.4% 3 2 10 0 0
Hurdle 88 75% 2 2 18 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Red Dawn (IRE)from Henrietta C Knight 21 0 4 2 Oct 09
Panama At Once (GB)then Philip Kirby 17 3 7 5 Jun 10
Freedom Flying (GB)from P C Haslam · then Philip Kirby 13 0 4 29 Sep 09
Youluckyman (IRE) 13 0 1 20 Mar 09
Amical Risks (FR)from Willie Musson · then Ollie Pears 12 1 8 19 Sep 10
Cornish Castle (USA)from Tim Walford · then Andrew Crook 11 0 1 19 Sep 10
Rosie Larkin (IRE) 11 0 0 30 Aug 10
Star Of Raven (GB) 7 0 0 30 Aug 10
Treason Trial (GB)from Stef Higgins · then Andrew Crook 6 0 2 22 Sep 10
Farington Lodge (IRE)from Sue Smith 6 0 1 21 Jul 09
Borouj (IRE)from Philip Fenton · then Miss C D Richardson 6 0 0 24 May 09
On The Map (GB)from Alan Jarvis 6 0 0 22 Sep 08
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Berry (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Philip Kirby (4) and Andrew Crook (2); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9010507000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Cullinane
20% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 0.55
RiderRWSR£1
David Cullinane 39 1 2.6% −32.50
Tom Messenger 33 3 9.1% +3.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
9
Archived wins
£72,874
Prize money
2007
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Panama At Once (GB) — Bulliet Bourbon Handicap Chase Ayr · Mar 2009 · Class 3
£7,221
Apadi (USA) — Hill Residential Handicap Chase Huntingdon · Aug 2007 · Class 4
£3,578
Panama At Once (GB) — Northern Media Novices' Handicap Chase Hexham · Apr 2007 · Class 4
£3,578
Notable horses
Panama At Once (GB) Farington Lodge (IRE) Golden Snoopy (IRE) Amical Risks (FR) College City (IRE) Apadi (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Commanche Run (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 7.3% of 384 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.4% from 125. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4% from 101.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Kalanisi (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Zaffaran (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,087 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 209. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4% from 174. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 5.2% from 155.
Take Risks (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.8% of 935 runs since 2008 (91 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 110. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 115. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.5% from 174. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 383 · newest first

The latest 50 of 383 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2006 to 22 September 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Sep 10 Perth Ancient Times (USA)J: Barry Keniry A C Management Consulting Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 28/1
22 Sep 10 Perth Galileo Figaro (AUS)J: Barry Keniry Perth Fm 106.6 Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 80/1
22 Sep 10 Perth Treason Trial (GB)J: Barry Keniry Salutation Hotel Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 33/1
19 Sep 10 Uttoxeter Cornish Castle (USA)J: Barry Keniry Hoar Cross Hall Gym Team Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 15 ran PU 20/1
19 Sep 10 Uttoxeter Amical Risks (FR)J: Barry Keniry Anoki Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 16 ran 9th 14/1
31 Aug 10 Ripon Captain Cornelius (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman Wakeman Stayers HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 33/1
30 Aug 10 Cartmel Rosie Larkin (IRE)J: Barry Keniry Jean Conron 60th Birthday Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran PU 25/1
30 Aug 10 Cartmel Star Of Raven (GB)J: Barry Keniry Cengiz (Gus) Sadik Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 16/1
28 Aug 10 Redcar Maison Dieu (GB)J: David Allan Follow Redcar Racing On Facebook HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 15th 25/1
28 Aug 10 Cartmel Cornish Castle (USA)J: Aodhagan Conlon A.F. Connell Family And Friends 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals/Amateurs)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/2F
28 Aug 10 Cartmel Treason Trial (GB)J: Barry Keniry Roofing Consultants Ltd Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 18/1
24 Aug 10 Sedgefield Cornish Castle (USA)J: Barry Keniry Donn Dx3 Main Runners And Riders Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18f · Good · 12 ran 4th 40/1
24 Aug 10 Sedgefield Galileo Figaro (AUS)J: Barry Keniry John Wade Waste Recycling Novices' Hurdle (qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 5th 50/1
24 Aug 10 Sedgefield Amical Risks (FR)J: Ewan Whillans Sheffield Insulations Novices' Hurdle (John Wade Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 40/1
21 Aug 10 Market Rasen Treason Trial (GB)J: Barry Keniry A.j. Glassfibre Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 16/1
20 Aug 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Ancient Times (USA)J: Duran Fentiman Coral Tv HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 11/1
14 Aug 10 Market Rasen Galileo Figaro (AUS)J: Barry Keniry Champagne Lanson Black Label N.V. Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1
13 Aug 10 Catterick Psychopathicsandra (IRE)J: Kelly Harrison Durham Cheshire Homes HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 100/1
06 Aug 10 Haydock Amical Risks (FR)J: Eleanor McGowan Betdaq The Betting Exchange Apprentice Training Series HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 5/1
01 Aug 10 Market Rasen Treason Trial (GB)J: Barry Keniry Geordie Lad Paddy Mckenna's 80th Birthday Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joss Saville's strike rate?
Joss Saville has won 5 of 196 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Joss Saville's Fair A/E?
0.53, from 196 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).