No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.8%+0.4
n=17 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −9.30
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+5.3
n=6 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−11.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −1.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.5%−0.9
n=38 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −13.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.7%−3.7
n=13 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −8.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Flat races15.2% vs 11.4% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat33515.2%−6.30
Hurdle1000%−10.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)23417.4%+1.50
Good900%−9.00
Good to Firm6116.7%−3.80
Good to Soft400%−4.00
Soft200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW)9222.2%+5.00
Wolverhampton (AW)8112.5%−2.50
Market Rasen300%−3.00
Deauville (FR)300%−3.00
Uttoxeter300%−3.00
Kempton (AW)2150%+3.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Musselburgh200%−2.00
Nottingham2150%+0.20
Sedgefield100%−1.00
Thirsk100%−1.00
Towcester100%−1.00
Ripon100%−1.00
Catterick100%−1.00
Curragh100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 623521.7%+3.70
Class 51200%−12.00
Class 4500%−5.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6233.3%1.27+1.20
2nd–3rd fav11218.2%1.53−0.50
4th–6th fav1317.7%1.00−4.00
7th+ in betting1400%0.00−14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m20210%−6.00
1m2f – 1m4f13215.4%−5.80
1m – 1m1f7114.3%−1.50
2m1f – 2m4f200%−2.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200816425%+8.50
20091000%−10.00
20101417.1%−11.80
2011300%−3.00
2012100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps41512.2%−14.30
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners2229.1%−7.50
14-16 runners1218.3%−7.00
8-10 runners8112.5%−3.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
5-7 runners11100%+1.20
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
330000025000200
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£27,598
Prize money
2008
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cumbrian Knight (IRE) — Text 'Betdirect' Amateurs' Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2005 · Class 6
£2,788
Cumbrian Knight (IRE) — Go Pontin's Amateur Riders' Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2007 · Class 6
£2,308
Cumbrian Knight (IRE) — Racing Post Amateur Riders' Handicap Southwell (AW) · Nov 2008 · Class 6
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.
Presenting (GB)15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Anabaa Blue (GB)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.
Barathea (IRE)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Bertolini (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE)100% · 1–1
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,687 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 64 · newest first
The latest 50 of 64 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 June 2005 to 15 June 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss R Jefferson's strike rate?
Miss R Jefferson has won 5 of 44 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss R Jefferson's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 44 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Miss R Jefferson·SR 11.4%·A/E 1.16
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