H Blume
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (2.1% over 95 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −73.55 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14.3%, n=84). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.3% over 43 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.37 across 72 runners (2.8% strike, −66.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Maurice de Nieuil at Longchamp (FR) (Jul 2007, £50,068).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 718 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 718 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2005 to 16 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is H Blume's strike rate?
- H Blume has won 21 of 305 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does H Blume do best at?
- Chantilly (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 107 runners (10.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is H Blume in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is H Blume's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 305 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.