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Jockey profile

Mr A D Bustin

58 rides in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 16 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
6–58
Wins / Runs
10.3%
Strike rate
n=58
15 (26%)
Placed
1.60
n=58 · 1.29 incl. margin
+50.83
£1 level stake
n=58 at SP · +87.6%
£59,088
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance C Byrnes: 11.8% from 51 Claiming: 10.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.3%−6.0
n=23 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −8.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+6.4
n=6 · A/E 2.45 · £1 +9.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
11.1%+0.8
n=9 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +6.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −0.17
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.7%+0.4
n=56 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +52.83
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%+0.8
n=27 · A/E 2.63 · £1 +35.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.5% vs 10.3% · n=32
With C Byrnes 11.8% vs 10.3% · n=51 · A/E 1.66
When claiming 10.7% vs 10.3% · n=56 · A/E 1.63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 28 4 14.3% +45.00
NH Flat 21 2 9.5% +14.83
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 26 4 15.4% +65.83
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Soft 13 2 15.4% +4.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 8 2 25% +46.00
Limerick 7 2 28.6% +28.83
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 1 50% +13.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.54 +0.83
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
7th+ in betting 35 4 11.4% 4.45 +68.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.7% completed · 30 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 2 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 28 85.7% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cafe Con Leche (IRE) 18 2 3 10 Feb 26
Killoughteen (IRE) 10 1 3 18 Sep 22
On Your Way (IRE) 3 1 2 26 Oct 26
I Owe You One (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Aug 24
Bunker Buster (IRE) 2 0 2 28 Apr 26
Rojuco Mac (IRE) 2 1 2 28 Dec 25
Never Late (IRE) 2 1 1 26 Dec 25
Delta Force (GB) 2 0 1 14 May 25
Let Him B (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Apr 24
Blue Train (IRE) 1 0 0 25 Sep 26
Gagaistheboss (IRE) 1 0 0 3 Aug 26
Jack Owen Jack (IRE) 1 0 1 15 May 26
All 23 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000001404043
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardC Byrnes
88% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.66
TrainerRWSR£1
C Byrnes 51 6 11.8% +57.83
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
6
Archived wins
£59,088
Prize money
2025
Best season · 4 wins
On Your Way (IRE) — John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle Fairyhouse · Nov 2025
£7,080
Cafe Con Leche (IRE) — Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' Handicap Hurdle Cork · Dec 2023
£6,785
Cafe Con Leche (IRE) — Daniel And Orma O'Keeffe Handicap Hurdle Cork · Nov 2025
£6,785

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Camacho (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,326 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,217 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Affinisea (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.2% of 1,302 runs since 2022 (209 horses).
Getaway (GER) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,024 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Mahler (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Casamento (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,633 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 65 · newest first

The latest 50 of 65 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2009 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Jan 26 Navan Cafe Con Leche (IRE)T: C Byrnes Navan Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran PU 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr A D Bustin's strike rate?
Mr A D Bustin has won 6 of 58 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr A D Bustin ride most for?
C Byrnes, with 51 rides since 2022 — 88% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (11.8%).
What is Mr A D Bustin's Fair A/E?
1.60, from 58 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).