What is William Durkan's strike rate?

William Durkan has won 34 of 293 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does William Durkan do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is William Durkan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is William Durkan's Fair A/E?

1.38, from 292 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

William Durkan

293 runners in the last 5 seasons · 42 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 11 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

34–293

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=293

75 (26%)

Placed

1.38

Fair A/E

n=292 · 1.11 incl. margin

+9.53

£1 level stake

n=293 at SP · +3.3%

£685k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.38).

Deterministic profile computed from 293 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

The read

The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14.9%, n=101). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 2.7% over 37 runners, 8.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Boulton Group Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter (Mar 2022, £84,405).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.3%−0.3

n=62 · A/E 1.95 · £1 +7.38

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.4%+5.8

n=23 · A/E 2.28 · £1 +31.00

Debutants · first career start

7.1%−4.5

n=14 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +20.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−11.6

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.2%−7.4

n=24 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −19.67

When favourite

40%

n=20 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −1.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.1%−1.5

n=139 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −4.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.2%−7.4

n=24 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Philip Byrnes 20.5% vs 11.6% · n=44

Over 1m – 1m1f 2.7% vs 11.6% · n=37

In Class 1 3.2% vs 11.6% · n=31

With horses switching code 15.5% vs 11.6% · n=71

With Chris Hayes 16.1% vs 11.6% · n=31

Off a 15-30-day break 14.9% vs 11.6% · n=101

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 133 13 9.8% +3.76

Hurdle 125 18 14.4% +17.57

Chase 29 3 10.3% −5.80

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 94 12 12.8% −2.48

Soft 88 11 12.5% +14.18

Good to Soft 36 4 11.1% +5.08

Heavy 35 3 8.6% −15.75

Standard (AW) 34 4 11.8% +14.50

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 32 4 12.5% +16.50

Galway 26 2 7.7% −14.80

Fairyhouse 21 0 0% −21.00

Leopardstown 20 2 10% +23.50

Punchestown 19 3 15.8% +8.48

Cork 13 2 15.4% −1.67

Navan 13 2 15.4% +6.50

Curragh 13 0 0% −13.00

Bellewstown 12 2 16.7% −6.50

Down Royal 12 1 8.3% −9.80

Ballinrobe 11 4 36.4% +21.53

Limerick 10 2 20% +15.50

Killarney 9 2 22.2% −4.21

Naas 9 1 11.1% −5.75

Gowran Park 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 31 1 3.2% −18.00

Class 2 11 1 9.1% +10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 21 8 38.1% 1.22 −2.75

2nd–3rd fav 47 8 17% 0.98 −14.22

4th–6th fav 70 11 15.7% 2.14 +46.50

7th+ in betting 155 7 4.5% 1.47 −20.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Baltic Bird (GB)from John & Thady Gosden 28 3 7 31 Jul 26

Eagle Fang (IRE)from Keith Dalgleish 23 4 12 27 Sep 26

Wandering Rocks (GB)from James Fanshawe 18 1 3 9 Oct 26

Shigar (IRE)from William Haggas 16 1 5 15 Aug 25

Holy See (IRE)from Christopher Head 14 2 5 27 Sep 26

Jerk (FR) 14 1 2 21 Feb 26

Bill Silvers (GB)from Harry Eustace 13 0 1 1 Sep 26

Touch The Moon (IRE)from George Scott 11 2 5 9 Oct 26

Cherry Pink (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 11 2 2 18 Feb 26

Laafi (FR)from William Haggas 9 2 3 9 Oct 26

Sporting Hero (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan 9 2 2 10 Sep 26

Still Standing (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington · then Alexandra Dunn 8 0 0 3 Mar 23

All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from William Haggas (5) and Andrew Balding (3); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

01521141701117111388

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPhilip Byrnes

15% of all rides
20.5% SR · A/E 1.29

RiderRWSR£1

Philip Byrnes 44 9 20.5% +17.04

Patrick M O'Brien 35 3 8.6% −2.30

Oakley Brown 33 3 9.1% +6.00

Chris Hayes 31 5 16.1% +41.00

Jamie Orr 30 4 13.3% +24.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£848k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Screaming Colours (IRE) — Boulton Group Midlands Grand National (Listed Open Handicap Chase) (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · Mar 2022 · Listed

£84,405

Eagle's Way (GB) — Guinness Handicap (Premier Handicap) Galway · Aug 2024

£64,900

Touch The Moon (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Red God Handicap Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · Aug 2026

£30,000

Notable horses

Eagle Fang (IRE) Baltic Bird (GB) Screaming Colours (IRE) Fallen Forest (IRE) Holy See (IRE) Touch The Moon (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Farhh (GB) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 13.7% of 1,799 runs since 2008 (164 horses).

Frankel (GB) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 18% of 7,495 runs since 2008 (873 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Free Eagle (IRE) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,399 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 130.

Elzaam (AUS) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,514 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.

Ulysses (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,969 runs since 2008 (293 horses).

Conillon (GER) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 12.9% of 85 runs since 2008 (19 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 671 · newest first

The latest 50 of 671 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Touch The Moon (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Handicap12f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 11/4

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Wandering Rocks (GB)J: Jamie Orr Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap12f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Laafi (FR)J: Philip Byrnes DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 5th 14/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Holy See (IRE)J: Jamie Orr Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch17f · Heavy · 30 ran 29th 100/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Eagle Fang (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch17f · Heavy · 30 ran 12th 33/1

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Hopes Are High (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 6th 17/2

23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Rond Point (GB)J: Mr J C Barry Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race20f · Good · 11 ran 4th 3/1

23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Golden Handshake (GB)J: Philip Byrnes Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker Novice Hurdle16f · Good · 4 ran 1st 2/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Wandering Rocks (GB)J: Jamie Orr Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 33/1

12 Sep 26 Doncaster Touch The Moon (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne PJ Towey Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 8th 10/1

12 Sep 26 Chester Holy See (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Watergate Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 9/2

10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Sporting Hero (GB)J: Mr J C Barry Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports (Q.R.) Handicap6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 14/1

04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Hopes Are High (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Séan Daly Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Bill Silvers (GB)J: Chris Hayes Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 12/1

30 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Peckedbytheparrott (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden8f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 80/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Bill Silvers (GB)J: Jamie Orr Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle This Saturday Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 13 ran 13th 22/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Sporting Hero (GB)J: Jamie Orr Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 33/1

22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Golden Handshake (GB)J: Philip Byrnes ML Lynch Civil Engineering Ltd. Maiden Hurdle (Div II)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 1st 10/11F

21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Eagle Fang (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap14.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 3/1J

20 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sporting Hero (GB)J: Jamie Orr Unio Employee Benefits Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Durkan's strike rate?: William Durkan has won 34 of 293 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Durkan do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is William Durkan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William Durkan's Fair A/E?: 1.38, from 292 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.