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Jockey profile

Mr J Kelly Smith

28 rides in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2023
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–28
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=28
4 (14%)
Placed
1.38
Fair A/E
n=28 · 1.10 incl. margin
+12.50
£1 level stake
n=28 at SP · +44.6%
£17,465
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−7.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.3%+7.2
n=7 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +27.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.4%+0.3
n=27 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +13.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
16.7%+9.6
n=12 · A/E 5.05 · £1 +28.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 18 2 11.1% +22.50
Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 1 5.9% −10.50
Good to Soft 5 1 20% +29.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kilbeggan 3 1 33.3% +3.50
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Cork 1 1 100% +33.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 11 1 9.1% 1.29 −4.50
7th+ in betting 15 1 6.7% 3.71 +19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mikita (IRE) 4 0 1 22 Aug 22
Nouliak (FR) 3 0 0 8 Oct 22
Cassarina Gold (IRE) 3 1 1 30 Sep 22
Moonovercloon (IRE) 3 1 2 2 Sep 22
Fairy Tree (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Aug 22
Forest Pump (IRE) 2 0 0 28 May 22
March Law (IRE) 1 0 0 3 Mar 23
Kalsman (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Dec 22
Leading Flame (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Sep 22
Gigantamax Eevee (IRE) 1 0 0 23 Sep 22
Cozone (GB) 1 0 0 24 Aug 22
Goonyaboyya (IRE) 1 0 0 27 Jul 22
All 16 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Matthew J Smith 25 2 8% +15.50
Kevin Michael Smith 2 0 0% −2.00
Liam Lennon 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
2
Archived wins
£17,465
Prize money
2022
Best season · 2 wins
Cassarina Gold (IRE) — Follow Us On Facebook Flat Race Cork · Aug 2022
£6,195
Moonovercloon (IRE) — kilbegganraces.com (Pro/Am) Flat Race Kilbeggan · Sep 2022
£5,900
Notable horses
Cassarina Gold (IRE) Moonovercloon (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Clovis Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.3% of 771 runs since 2021 (112 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.9% from 155. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.5% from 145.
Hallowed Crown (AUS) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.9% of 619 runs since 2019 (48 horses).
Montmartre (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,395 runs since 2013 (304 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 598. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.
Notnowcato (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,370 runs since 2011 (226 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 386. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.6% from 349.
Sea Moon (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 11.6% of 602 runs since 2020 (66 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.9% from 239. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 170. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.5% from 164.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 28 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mr J Kelly Smith's 28 archived rides, from 26 April 2022 to 3 March 2023, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) March Law (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 18/1
26 Dec 22 Down Royal Kalsman (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Mcmahon Mckay M&A (pro/am) Flat Race17f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 200/1
08 Oct 22 Fairyhouse Nouliak (FR)T: Matthew J Smith Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1
30 Sep 22 Gowran Park Cassarina Gold (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed)16f · Yielding · 11 ran 9th 50/1
26 Sep 22 Roscommon Leading Flame (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Roscommon On-Course Vets Flat Race15.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 5/1
23 Sep 22 Listowel Gigantamax Eevee (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 17 ran 13th 66/1
17 Sep 22 Navan Nouliak (FR)T: Matthew J Smith Sign Up Now To GavinLynchRacing.com (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 9th 50/1
02 Sep 22 Kilbeggan Moonovercloon (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith kilbegganraces.com (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good · 15 ran 1st 11/2
24 Aug 22 Bellewstown Cozone (GB)T: Matthew J Smith Panda Power (Q.R.) Handicap17f · Good · 11 ran 9th 20/1
22 Aug 22 Ballinrobe Mikita (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 28/1
07 Aug 22 Downpatrick Moonovercloon (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Downpatrick Racecourse Hat & Accessories Style Award Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 2/1
05 Aug 22 Wexford Fairy Tree (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 14/1
02 Aug 22 Roscommon Mikita (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race16f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 8/1
01 Aug 22 Cork Cassarina Gold (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Follow Us On Facebook Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 1st 33/1
31 Jul 22 Galway Nouliak (FR)T: Matthew J Smith Fr. Breen Memorial (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1
28 Jul 22 Galway Moonovercloon (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Guinness Time Flat Race18.5f · Good · 20 ran 4th 12/1
27 Jul 22 Galway Goonyaboyya (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Tote Guarantee On All Irish & Uk Races (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 14th 80/1
19 Jul 22 Ballinrobe Kilcarthy Boy (IRE)T: Kevin Michael Smith On-Course Bookmakers Flat Race15.5f · Good · 15 ran PU 150/1
15 Jul 22 Killarney Fairy Tree (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Christy Lucey Transport Limited Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 12 ran 5th 22/1
14 Jul 22 Killarney Mikita (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Killarney Oaks Hotel Flat Race17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J Kelly Smith's strike rate?
Mr J Kelly Smith has won 2 of 28 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).