Skip to content
Trainer profile

Matthew J Smith

790 runners in the last 5 seasons · 74 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
55–790
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=790
162 (21%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=790 · 0.87 incl. margin
−255.60
£1 level stake
n=790 at SP · −32.4%
£773k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 9% (32 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 790 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 27.5% when favourite James Smith: 9.3% from 150 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 43 runners) — the widest gap in the record. James Smith rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.3% vs 7%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.5%, n=88). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 2.1% over 47 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Northfields' Handicap at Curragh (Sep 2019, £88,500). The stable star of the record: Master Matt (GB) — 7 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.6%−0.4
n=136 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −15.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.6%−1.4
n=18 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −9.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.0
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.4%+2.4
n=32 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −14.17
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.7%−2.3
n=43 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −25.00
When favourite
27.5%
n=40 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +4.74
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.9%−0.1
n=304 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −85.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.4%−3.6
n=29 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Fairyhouse 0% vs 7% · n=43
Off a 0-7-day break 12.5% vs 7% · n=88
At Navan 1.7% vs 7% · n=58
On last-time-out winners 12.1% vs 7% · n=58
At Punchestown 1.9% vs 7% · n=54
In Chase races 2.1% vs 7% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 398 29 7.3% −104.01
Hurdle 325 23 7.1% −131.09
Chase 47 1 2.1% −41.00
NH Flat 20 2 10% +20.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 288 29 10.1% −36.93
Soft 221 11 5% −100.50
Good to Soft 117 5 4.3% −55.67
Standard (AW) 112 9 8% −21.50
Heavy 44 1 2.3% −33.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 110 8 7.3% −31.50
Galway 67 4 6% −31.00
Navan 58 1 1.7% −53.67
Punchestown 54 1 1.9% −49.00
Fairyhouse 43 0 0% −43.00
Curragh 37 1 2.7% −24.00
Listowel 35 3 8.6% +18.50
Leopardstown 31 3 9.7% +19.00
Naas 30 1 3.3% −22.00
Down Royal 30 2 6.7% −4.00
Bellewstown 28 5 17.9% −3.34
Kilbeggan 27 1 3.7% −20.50
Gowran Park 27 2 7.4% −8.00
Downpatrick 26 5 19.2% −5.67
Roscommon 24 2 8.3% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 31 1 3.2% −19.00
Class 2 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 11 25% 1.21 +0.74
2nd–3rd fav 117 17 14.5% 1.05 −12.34
4th–6th fav 154 12 7.8% 1.07 −40.00
7th+ in betting 475 15 3.2% 1.09 −204.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cozone (GB)from James Ferguson 54 5 13 8 Oct 26
Bigz Belief (IRE)then Barry Brennan 36 2 7 1 Sep 24
Moonovercloon (IRE)then Declan Queally 34 3 13 14 Oct 25
Another Choice (IRE) 31 2 9 29 Sep 25
Blackcastle Storm (GB)from Richard Hughes 26 2 5 18 Oct 24
Mads Black Eights (IRE)from David Peter Dunne · then Hugh Paul Finegan 26 2 5 22 Nov 23
Dartan (GB)then Sarah Humphrey 25 7 9 11 Jul 25
La La Lucrative (IRE)from Gemma Tutty 23 3 6 15 Oct 26
La Hacienda (GB)from Andreas Suborics 23 5 6 3 Oct 24
Eruption (IRE)from Tim Easterby · then John C McConnell 22 2 7 17 Oct 24
Cala Bonita (IRE) 20 4 7 21 Sep 26
Boadicea Belle (IRE)from Henry Spiller 20 2 5 15 Aug 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gavin Cromwell (3) and James Ferguson (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (2) and Kevin Frost (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 10
Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
33776101196465
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Smith
19% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.13
RiderRWSR£1
James Smith 150 14 9.3% −35.42
Robbie Colgan 97 7 7.2% −34.50
Declan McDonogh 72 8 11.1% +22.33
Keith Donoghue 45 2 4.4% −27.50
Jake Coen 30 2 6.7% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
158
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£2.40m
Prize money
2020
Best season · 22 wins
One Cool Poet (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Northfields' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2019
£88,500
La Hacienda (GB) — JenningsBet Northumberland Vase Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Jul 2023 · Class 2
£38,655
Ronald Pump (GB) — I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2019 · Grade B
£32,450
Notable horses
Master Matt (GB) Dartan (GB) Bective Cave (IRE) Rawnaq (IRE) One Cool Poet (IRE) Cozone (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pour Moi (IRE) 8.2% · 6–73
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,682 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.
Hillstar (GB) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 7.5% of 738 runs since 2008 (88 horses).
Make Believe (GB) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,597 runs since 2008 (297 horses).
Urban Poet (USA) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 4.8% of 517 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Sea Moon (GB) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 11.8% of 585 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.2% from 234. Weakest on Soft going: 7.2% from 166.
Profitable (IRE) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,408 runs since 2008 (356 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,783 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,783 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 December 2012 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Banshof (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 18/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) La La Lucrative (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 18th 11/2
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Final Boss (IRE)J: James Ryan Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 10th 25/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cala Gracioneta (IRE)J: James Smith William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 5th 15/2
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Ella's Gold (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 12/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) La La Lucrative (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Guinness Handicap7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 4/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Banshof (IRE)J: Jack Cleary View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 12/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Blackjack Hills (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 13th 15/2
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Cozone (GB)J: Wesley Joyce Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 12th 28/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Knockraha Pa (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 17th 300/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Excuzio Joe (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 28/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Banshof (IRE)J: James Ryan Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 40/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Final Boss (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 7th 40/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cozone (GB)J: Robbie Colgan Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 100/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Cozone (GB)J: Sam Ewing Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 4th 16/1
22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) La La Lucrative (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan WTW Willis Towers Watson Handicap7f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 7/2
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Banshof (IRE)J: Killian Leonard La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 15th 80/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) La La Lucrative (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 15/2
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Cala Bonita (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap9f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 28/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Knockraha Pa (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7f · Yielding · 15 ran 10th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew J Smith's strike rate?
Matthew J Smith has won 55 of 790 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew J Smith do best at?
Leopardstown by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Matthew J Smith?
James Smith, with 150 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (9.3%).
Is Matthew J Smith in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Matthew J Smith's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 790 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).