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Trainer profile

Kevin Michael Smith

261 runners in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 106 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
12–261
Wins / Runs
4.6%
Strike rate
n=261
53 (20%)
Placed
0.75
Fair A/E
n=260 · 0.59 incl. margin
−131.17
£1 level stake
n=261 at SP · −50.3%
£160k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.75).

Deterministic profile computed from 261 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.9% Wesley Joyce: 7.9% from 63 Claiming riders: 5.5%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −68.17 to a £1 stake over 183 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Wesley Joyce rides 24% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.9% vs 4.6%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (8.2%, n=49). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.24 across 54 runners (1.9% strike, −49.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%+1.3
n=51 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −22.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
9.1%
n=11 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −6.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%+0.9
n=183 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −68.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 8.2% vs 4.6% · n=49
With Wesley Joyce 7.9% vs 4.6% · n=63
Over 6f – 7f 7.5% vs 4.6% · n=93
Off a 8-14-day break 1.9% vs 4.6% · n=54
In Hurdle races 2.2% vs 4.6% · n=45
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.4% vs 4.6% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 209 10 4.8% −109.17
Hurdle 45 1 2.2% −28.00
Chase 5 1 20% +8.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 81 5 6.2% −28.50
Standard (AW) 76 3 3.9% −23.67
Soft 54 2 3.7% −39.00
Heavy 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Soft 21 2 9.5% −11.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 76 3 3.9% −23.67
Down Royal 21 2 9.5% −5.50
Galway 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Curragh 19 0 0% −19.00
Gowran Park 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Fairyhouse 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% −1.00
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 7 1 14.3% +6.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 6 2 33.3% +9.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 1 7.1% 0.33 −9.67
2nd–3rd fav 33 6 18.2% 1.36 +5.50
4th–6th fav 58 2 3.4% 0.45 −42.00
7th+ in betting 156 3 1.9% 0.72 −85.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Son Of Hypnos (IRE)from Matthew J Smith · then Ryan Chapman 31 2 7 20 Oct 25
Blue Wood (IRE)from M A Cahill 26 1 8 5 Nov 25
Marians Gal (IRE) 25 1 6 15 May 26
Cornahilt Soldier (IRE) 23 1 4 11 Sep 25
Gangsta Man (IRE)then Jim Goldie 18 2 5 27 Sep 25
International Lady (IRE)from Richard Fahey 18 0 4 15 Oct 24
Nawraq (IRE) 16 0 2 1 Nov 24
Undefeatable (IRE)then K Smith 13 1 4 11 Jul 26
Red Secret (CAN)from Ed Dunlop 12 0 3 16 Jun 25
Royal County Glory (IRE)then Jack Jones 11 1 4 1 Jun 26
Java Wood (IRE)then K Smith 10 2 3 12 Jun 26
White Quarry Rose (IRE) 9 0 0 28 May 24
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Matthew J Smith (3); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for K Smith (4); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWesley Joyce
24% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.20
RiderRWSR£1
Wesley Joyce 63 5 7.9% −30.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
20
Archived wins
£251k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 5 wins
Son Of Hypnos (IRE) — Easyfix Handicap Hurdle (95-109) Galway · Jul 2024
£10,030
Gangsta Man (IRE) — Golf At Gowran Park Handicap Gowran Park · Sep 2025
£7,670
Java Wood (IRE) — Twilight Summer Racing At Limerick Handicap Limerick · Jun 2026
£7,068
Notable horses
Son Of Hypnos (IRE) Jackmel (IRE) International Lady (IRE) Gangsta Man (IRE) Java Wood (IRE) Blue Wood (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Requinto (IRE) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,456 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Morpheus (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Soldier's Call (GB) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,110 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 245.
Kuroshio (AUS) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,301 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.
Dandy Man (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,935 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Showcasing (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,602 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 373 · newest first

The latest 50 of 373 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 July 2020 to 11 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Jul 26 Limerick Spirit Above (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle DAR Golf And Mann Family Handicap (0-60)6.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 10/1
11 Jul 26 Limerick Undefeatable (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Ei Electronics Handicap (0-60)6.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1
19 Jun 26 Down Royal Spirit Above (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan WillWeGo Handicap5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 5/2F
12 Jun 26 Gowran Park Java Wood (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Gowran Park Handicap9.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 15/2
10 Jun 26 Limerick Unfamiliar (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Cosgrave Transport Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)7f · Yielding · 13 ran 1st 7/1
10 Jun 26 Limerick Java Wood (IRE)J: Colin Keane Twilight Summer Racing At Limerick Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 1st 6/1
05 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Unfamiliar (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Dino Day 8th July Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 17 ran 5th 9/1
01 Jun 26 Gowran Park Royal County Glory (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo KCLR 96FM Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 9/2F
29 May 26 Down Royal Spirit Above (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo BOYLE Sports Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Handicap5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 16/1
28 May 26 Fairyhouse Royal County Glory (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Book Your Hospitality At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap7f · Good · 13 ran 5th 17/2
28 May 26 Fairyhouse Granite Mountain (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race6f · Good · 8 ran 8th 66/1
24 May 26 Curragh Java Wood (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Velo Coffee Handicap8f · Good · 19 ran 12th 15/2
15 May 26 Leopardstown Marians Gal (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap (0-60)13f · Good · 19 ran 7th 10/1
15 May 26 Leopardstown Java Wood (IRE)J: Jared Huggan Leopardstown Friday Night Social Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 15 ran 4th 14/1
04 May 26 Curragh Java Wood (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo PG Duffy & Sons Citroen Apprentice Handicap7f · Good · 15 ran 5th 20/1
22 Apr 26 Gowran Park Unfamiliar (IRE)J: W J Lee Dining Packages At Gowran Park Handicap (0-60)7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 10/1
10 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Royal County Glory (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 10/3F
08 Apr 26 Gowran Park Unfamiliar (IRE)J: W J Lee Gowran Park Handicap7f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 9/2
01 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Spirit Above (IRE)J: Leigh Roche New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 66/1
01 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Royal County Glory (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Michael Smith's strike rate?
Kevin Michael Smith has won 12 of 261 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Michael Smith do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 76 runners (3.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Michael Smith?
Wesley Joyce, with 63 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.9%).
What is Kevin Michael Smith's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 260 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).