No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).
Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 5.7%Claiming: 5.5%
The read
The rider also read well in Class 5 (11.9%, n=42) and in Hurdle races (9.1%, n=44). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 39 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.8%−0.6
n=62 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −23.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+11.3
n=6 · A/E 1.85 · £1 −2.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.7%+0.3
n=35 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −22.50
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +1.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.5%+0.1
n=110 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −17.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.1%+1.7
n=28 · A/E 3.12 · £1 +42.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 511.9% vs 5.4% · n=42
In Class 40% vs 5.4% · n=39
In Hurdle races9.1% vs 5.4% · n=44
On Good going8.3% vs 5.4% · n=48
Over 2m5f – 3m8.1% vs 5.4% · n=37
With Sarah-Jayne Davies7.9% vs 5.4% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase5223.8%−45.25
Hurdle4449.1%+41.50
NH Flat1400%−14.00
Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good4848.3%+28.75
Soft2414.2%−17.50
Good to Firm1616.3%−7.00
Good to Soft1400%−14.00
Heavy900%−9.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow1800%−18.00
Uttoxeter7114.3%+22.00
Worcester700%−7.00
Market Rasen6116.7%+0.50
Chepstow6116.7%+35.00
Towcester600%−6.00
Warwick600%−6.00
Plumpton500%−5.00
Huntingdon500%−5.00
Fontwell400%−4.00
Hereford400%−4.00
Cheltenham400%−4.00
Stratford400%−4.00
Southwell400%−4.00
Newton Abbot4250%+8.25
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 542511.9%+46.75
Class 43900%−39.00
Class 62813.6%−24.50
Class 3200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5240%1.52+1.75
2nd–3rd fav9111.1%0.60−2.50
4th–6th fav3213.1%0.45−23.00
7th+ in betting6523.1%1.49+5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m3738.1%+4.50
2m1f – 2m4f3412.9%+7.00
1m5f – 2m3226.3%−22.25
Over 3m800%−8.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008800%−8.00
20092214.5%−18.50
20103326.1%+37.00
2011600%−6.00
20128112.5%−1.50
20131417.1%−5.00
20141417.1%−10.75
2015300%−3.00
2016300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4648.7%+13.75
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners3026.7%−20.00
8-10 runners2926.9%−16.75
14-16 runners2328.7%+47.00
5-7 runners2200%−22.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0050103300500014
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£35,129
Prize money
2010
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Galway (IRE) — Cats At The Centaur Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2007 · Class 5
£2,967
Respectueux (FR) — Sis Top-class Data Delivery Novices' Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Jun 2014 · Class 5
£2,924
Noble Chic (GB) — Newtonabbotracing.com Selling Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · May 2013 · Class 5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Generous (IRE)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Sir Harry Lewis (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Tikkanen (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,014 runs since 2009 (170 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Silver Patriarch (IRE)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 141 · newest first
The latest 50 of 141 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2005 to 1 April 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr J Mahot's strike rate?
Mr J Mahot has won 6 of 111 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr J Mahot's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 111 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr J Mahot·SR 5.4%·A/E 0.91
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