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Trainer profile

Sarah-Jayne Davies

499 runners in the last 5 seasons · 85 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
15–499
Wins / Runs
3%
Strike rate
n=499
58 (12%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=499 · 0.71 incl. margin
−311.67
£1 level stake
n=499 at SP · −62.5%
£216k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 499 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance James Best: 3.9% from 178
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=116, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −134.50 to a £1 stake over 183 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Best rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (7.6%, n=66). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 59 runners, 3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.00 across 57 runners (0% strike, −57.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Accessallareas (IRE) — 6 wins from 68 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.0
n=116 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −116.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
1.7%−1.3
n=60 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −31.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.0
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.6%−1.4
n=183 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −134.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 7.6% vs 3% · n=66
With horses switching code 0% vs 3% · n=95
Over 2m5f – 3m 5.8% vs 3% · n=121
In Chase races 5.3% vs 3% · n=246
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 3% · n=59
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3% · n=57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 246 13 5.3% −71.67
Hurdle 226 2 0.9% −213.00
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 242 8 3.3% −138.17
Soft 110 4 3.6% −57.50
Good to Soft 93 1 1.1% −88.00
Heavy 35 2 5.7% −9.00
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Hereford 67 1 1.5% −38.00
Worcester 64 1 1.6% −56.50
Ludlow 59 2 3.4% −21.00
Uttoxeter 59 2 3.4% −33.00
Bangor-on-Dee 39 2 5.1% −13.00
Ffos Las 32 2 6.3% −22.67
Stratford 28 1 3.6% −16.00
Leicester 23 2 8.7% −3.50
Huntingdon 18 1 5.6% −6.00
Market Rasen 18 1 5.6% −10.00
Warwick 13 0 0% −13.00
Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00
Taunton 10 0 0% −10.00
Chepstow 9 0 0% −9.00
Haydock 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 252 11 4.4% −119.67
Class 4 210 4 1.9% −155.00
Class 3 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 35 6 17.1% 1.11 −4.67
4th–6th fav 142 4 2.8% 0.60 −96.00
7th+ in betting 319 5 1.6% 0.91 −208.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73.1% completed · 472 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 246 72.8% 5 6 55 0 1
Hurdle 226 73.5% 4 3 50 0 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Higgs (IRE) 32 2 12 2 Jun 25
Nine Nine Nine (GB)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 30 2 8 31 Mar 26
Est Illic (IRE)from Tom Symonds 24 0 5 14 Oct 26
Zacony Rebel (IRE)from Toby Lawes 23 4 5 28 May 26
Ramaah (GB)from Ismail Mohammed 18 1 3 26 Sep 26
Dj Pete (IRE)from Oliver Sherwood 14 2 6 4 May 26
Invincible Wish (IRE)from Matt Sheppard 13 1 3 7 Sep 24
Equus Millar (IRE)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 13 0 2 18 May 24
Royal Act (GB)from Sam England 13 1 1 3 May 24
River Robe (IRE)from Dan Skelton 12 0 0 20 Mar 25
Genbu (GB)from Sam England 10 1 3 5 Sep 26
Slip Of The Tongue (IRE)from Padraig Roche 10 0 0 20 Aug 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 85 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 52 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nigel Twiston-Davies (4) and Tom Weston (4); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
326260706003
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Best
36% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 1.02
RiderRWSR£1
James Best 178 7 3.9% −110.67
William Kennedy 54 1 1.9% −33.00
Tabitha Worsley 49 0 0% −49.00
Conor Ring 45 0 0% −45.00
Cillin Leonard 40 2 5% −20.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
56
Archived wins
£565k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 9 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Zacony Rebel (IRE) — Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Huntingdon · Dec 2025 · Class 4
£11,102
Higgs (IRE) — Sky Sports Racing Coming In 2019 Novices' Hurdle Newton Abbot · May 2018 · Class 3
£7,928
Est Illic (IRE) — attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Doncaster · Dec 2020 · Class 3
£7,018
Notable horses
Accessallareas (IRE) Higgs (IRE) Royal Act (GB) Zacony Rebel (IRE) Pembroke House (GB) Chankillo (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Scorpion (IRE) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,321 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,870 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,949 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Getaway (GER) 16.7% · 4–24
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,971 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Waldgeist (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 8.7% of 938 runs since 2023 (127 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.2% from 233.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,686 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,353 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,353 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 May 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Worcester Dynamite Defense (IRE)J: James Best Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 125/1
30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter A Dublin Job (IRE)J: James Best Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1
26 Oct 26 Hereford Lady Of The Isles (IRE)J: James Best tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 300/1
26 Oct 26 Hereford Just Call Me Mo (GB)J: Miss Jess Stewart BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 300/1
14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Est Illic (IRE)J: Megan Bevan Enigma Flooring Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Soft · 7 ran PU 50/1
12 Oct 26 Worcester Dynamite Defense (IRE)J: James Best CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 18/1
12 Oct 26 Worcester Disco Davis (FR)J: James Best Richard Davis Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 66/1
07 Oct 26 Worcester Delta Legend (IRE)J: Megan Bevan Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1
05 Oct 26 Stratford Lizziemouth (GB)J: James Best Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 500/1
05 Oct 26 Stratford Lady Of The Isles (IRE)J: James Best Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 300/1
04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter A Dublin Job (IRE)J: James Best Quinnbet Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 28/1
26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Ramaah (GB)J: James Best Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/1
25 Sep 26 Worcester Disco Davis (FR)J: James Best Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 66/1
22 Sep 26 Warwick Est Illic (IRE)J: Megan Bevan Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 22/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter A Dublin Job (IRE)J: James Best QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Delta Legend (IRE)J: James Best Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 200/1
10 Sep 26 Worcester Dynamite Defense (IRE)J: James Best CopyBet Bog Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1
10 Sep 26 Worcester Ramaah (GB)J: James Best PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 6th 28/1
08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Ice In The Veins (IRE)J: James Best John Hewitt Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 17.5f · Good · 4 ran F 14/1
08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Disco Davis (FR)J: James Best Twilight Racing On The Dee Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sarah-Jayne Davies's strike rate?
Sarah-Jayne Davies has won 15 of 499 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah-Jayne Davies do best at?
Ffos Las by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 runners (6.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sarah-Jayne Davies?
James Best, with 178 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (3.9%).
Is Sarah-Jayne Davies in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sarah-Jayne Davies's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 499 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).