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Trainer profile

Michael Scudamore

262 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2024
from 1 Jan 2022
25–262
Wins / Runs
9.5%
Strike rate
n=262
72 (28%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=262 · 0.76 incl. margin
−36.53
£1 level stake
n=262 at SP · −13.9%
£316k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (99 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 262 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.7% Luca Morgan: 13% from 54 Claiming riders: 13.1%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 13.1% (n=99, Fair A/E 1.20). Luca Morgan rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13% vs 9.5%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (17.5%, n=57) and in Chase races (13.3%, n=60). The record reads poorly on Good going — 4.5% over 110 runners, 5pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the A.P. McCoy Grand Annual Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2015, £51,255). The stable star of the record: Some Chaos (IRE) — 7 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.7%+1.2
n=75 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +3.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+0.5
n=10 · A/E 0.81 · £1 +1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.5
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
37.5%
n=24 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −1.03
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.1%+3.6
n=99 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +66.36
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.7%−2.8
n=15 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −12.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 17.5% vs 9.5% · n=57
On Good going 4.5% vs 9.5% · n=110
With claiming riders up 13.1% vs 9.5% · n=99
In Chase races 13.3% vs 9.5% · n=60
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.9% vs 9.5% · n=62
With Luca Morgan 13% vs 9.5% · n=54
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 121 9 7.4% −12.52
Chase 60 8 13.3% −14.74
Flat 58 6 10.3% +1.00
NH Flat 23 2 8.7% −10.27

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 110 5 4.5% −38.00
Good to Soft 57 10 17.5% +23.49
Standard (AW) 35 3 8.6% +6.50
Soft 34 2 5.9% −26.77
Good to Firm 13 4 30.8% +8.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −9.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 20 2 10% +22.50
Ffos Las 16 2 12.5% −6.75
Uttoxeter 15 1 6.7% −7.00
Huntingdon 13 0 0% −13.00
Newcastle 12 5 41.7% +7.96
Southwell 12 2 16.7% +37.00
Hereford 10 1 10% −7.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Cheltenham 9 1 11.1% −4.50
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Wetherby 6 2 33.3% +4.50
Warwick 6 0 0% −6.00
Kempton (AW) 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Chepstow 6 1 16.7% −2.50
Southwell (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 106 8 7.5% +4.73
Class 4 75 8 10.7% +2.61
Class 2 22 2 9.1% −14.00
Class 6 22 2 9.1% −9.50
Class 3 19 4 21.1% −4.75
Class 1 16 1 6.3% −13.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 27 9 33.3% 1.03 −4.03
2nd–3rd fav 61 7 11.5% 0.72 −22.00
4th–6th fav 102 6 5.9% 0.75 −2.50
7th+ in betting 72 3 4.2% 1.47 −8.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.1% completed · 181 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 60 70% 1 0 16 1 0
Hurdle 121 85.1% 1 0 17 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Robbie Dazzler (GB) 13 0 3 6 Oct 23
Faitque De L'isle (FR)from Ed de Giles · then James Evans 12 1 2 7 Nov 23
Blazer Two (GB)then Lucinda Russell 12 2 4 29 Jun 23
Let It Shine (GB)then Charlie Longsdon 11 0 1 21 Nov 23
Copper Coin (GB) 10 0 5 18 May 24
Caldwell (GB)from D K Weld · then Lucinda Russell 10 1 2 24 Jun 23
Czech Her Out (IRE)then Lucinda Russell 9 2 4 27 Jun 23
Hey Frankie (IRE) 9 0 3 17 Jun 23
Herecomesfreddie (GB) 8 0 0 24 Aug 23
Far Horizon (IRE)then Charlie Longsdon 8 1 5 2 Jun 23
Fix At All (FR)from Francois Nicolle · then Neil Mulholland 8 2 3 5 May 23
Rolfe Rembrandt (GB) 7 2 3 19 Jun 23
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Claire Dyson (2) and Joseph Parr (2); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Lucinda Russell (10) and Neil Mulholland (4); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
414111534715014137
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLuca Morgan
21% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 0.98
RiderRWSR£1
Luca Morgan 54 7 13% −4.52
Richard Patrick 50 3 6% −34.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
256
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£2.48m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 22 wins
Next Sensation (IRE) — A.P. McCoy Grand Annual Handicap Chase (For The Johnny Henderson Challenge Cup) (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2015 · Class 1
£51,255
Monbeg Dude (IRE) — Coral Welsh National (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Chepstow · Jan 2013 · Class 1
£51,255
Mysteree (IRE) — Betfred Eider Handicap Chase Newcastle · Feb 2017 · Class 2
£50,048

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cable Bay (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,706 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 640. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Leading Light (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,193 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Fame And Glory (GB) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,200 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Cape Cross (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Secret Singer (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 148.
Pether's Moon (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 13.2% of 900 runs since 2008 (106 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,695 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,695 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 April 2008 to 30 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Scudamore's strike rate?
Michael Scudamore has won 25 of 262 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Michael Scudamore?
Luca Morgan, with 54 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (13%).
What is Michael Scudamore's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 262 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).