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Jockey profile

Mr J W O'Neill

187 rides in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Dec 2020 91% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–187
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=187
41 (22%)
Placed
0.76
n=187 · 0.60 incl. margin
−107.34
£1 level stake
n=187 at SP · −57.4%
£128k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (46 runs). Rode mostly for Ronald O'Neill — 99% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 187 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.5% Ronald O'Neill: 4.9% from 185 Claiming: 4.9%
The read

It is weakest at Thurles (0% over 36 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −103.34 to a £1 stake over 183 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ronald O'Neill supplied 99% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.9%, A/E 0.76). The rider also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (9.3%, n=43) and off a break of 180+ days (8.8%, n=34). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.44 across 78 rides (2.6% strike, −52.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ticket Sales Online Handicap Hurdle at Cork (Nov 2014, £19,500).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−4.8
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+11.9
n=6 · A/E 1.68 · £1 −2.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.5%+1.7
n=46 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −19.50
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −2.17
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.9%+0.1
n=183 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −103.34
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.6%−2.2
n=78 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −52.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+11.9
n=6 · A/E 4.84 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Thurles 0% vs 4.8% · n=36
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 9.3% vs 4.8% · n=43
At Clonmel 0% vs 4.8% · n=31
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 4.8% · n=31
Off a break of 180+ days 8.8% vs 4.8% · n=34
On Soft going 2.6% vs 4.8% · n=78
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 91 6 6.6% −60.34
Hurdle 80 3 3.8% −31.00
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 80 5 6.3% −32.00
Soft 78 2 2.6% −52.67
Good 20 1 5% −18.17
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +2.50
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Thurles 36 0 0% −36.00
Clonmel 31 0 0% −31.00
Cork 21 2 9.5% +2.00
Gowran Park 20 2 10% +5.50
Limerick 19 1 5.3% −2.00
Wexford 10 1 10% −8.17
Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 5 1 20% −1.50
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 1 20% −0.67
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.30 −0.67
2nd–3rd fav 22 3 13.6% 0.97 −9.67
4th–6th fav 67 1 1.5% 0.22 −56.00
7th+ in betting 91 3 3.3% 1.13 −41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
93.8% completed · 80 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 80 93.8% 0 1 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rory O'moore (IRE) 24 4 9 2 Nov 17
Fort Carson (IRE) 19 0 5 18 Feb 16
Lets High Five It (IRE) 18 0 5 20 Mar 18
Kymin's Way (IRE) 18 1 7 20 Jan 16
Bay Sly (IRE) 11 1 3 27 Oct 14
Sydney Thompson (IRE) 10 1 3 17 Feb 16
Henrietta's Way (IRE) 10 1 1 29 Dec 13
Loch Garbh (IRE) 9 0 0 8 Dec 13
Behana (IRE) 8 1 4 9 Sep 14
Now Mcginty (IRE) 7 0 2 9 Feb 17
Stowaway John (IRE) 6 0 1 19 Nov 20
Teddy's Acre (IRE) 6 0 1 10 Feb 19
All 31 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0650000014746
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
99% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 0.76
TrainerRWSR£1
Ronald O'Neill 185 9 4.9% −105.34
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
9
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£128k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 4 wins
Rory O'moore (IRE) — Ticket Sales Online Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Cork · Nov 2014 · Grade C
£19,500
Rory O'moore (IRE) — Paddy Power Mobile (pro/am) Flat Race Naas · Feb 2012
£9,315
Rory O'moore (IRE) — Tipperary Co-op Hardware & Super Valu, Home & Diy (pro/am) Flat Race Tipperary · Oct 2012
£7,418

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stowaway (GB) 5.2% · 8–155
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Halling (USA) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.
Salutino (GER) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 341 runs since 2015 (29 horses).
Aristotle (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 4.2% of 72 runs since 2014 (9 horses).
Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Cape Cross (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 187 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 November 2008 to 3 December 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 20 Thurles Western Tino (IRE)T: Ronald O'Neill Thurles Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 18/1
06 Feb 20 Thurles Stowaway John (IRE)T: Ronald O'Neill Munster Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J W O'Neill's strike rate?
Mr J W O'Neill has won 9 of 187 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr J W O'Neill do best at?
Thurles by strike rate: 0 wins from 36 rides (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr J W O'Neill ride most for?
Ronald O'Neill, with 185 rides since 2008 — 99% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (4.9%).
What is Mr J W O'Neill's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 187 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).