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Trainer profile

James Keegan

51 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2015 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–51
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=51
5 (10%)
Placed
1.19
Fair A/E
n=51 · 0.85 incl. margin
−13.00
£1 level stake
n=51 at SP · −25.5%
£22,878
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.3%+1.4
n=19 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+6.1
n=10 · A/E 3.06 · £1 +11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.2%−0.7
n=31 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 35 1 2.9% −18.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
Chase 3 1 33.3% +18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 22 1 4.5% −5.00
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 8 1 12.5% +9.00
Thurles 8 1 12.5% +13.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 44 2 4.5% 1.88 −6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
68.4% completed · 38 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 3 66.7% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 35 68.6% 1 0 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bold As Brass (IRE) 11 1 3 3 Apr 10
Callisto Green (IRE) 6 0 0 15 Dec 11
Suzie Supreme (IRE) 5 0 0 14 Feb 15
Sarsfields Legend (IRE)from C F Swan 5 0 0 27 Oct 12
Lady Waveney (IRE) 5 0 0 11 Nov 10
Riberettos Song (IRE)from Lorcan Joseph Donnelly 4 0 0 3 Jun 11
Russian Buck (IRE)from J J Lennon · then V C Ward 3 1 1 7 May 09
Dick White (IRE)from Thomas Cooper 2 0 0 20 Jan 10
Tom And Dec (IRE)from Paul Nolan 2 0 0 22 May 08
Paper Plane (IRE) 1 0 0 18 Jun 14
Blue Article (IRE)from Pierce Michael Power 1 0 0 13 Apr 14
Oisin Sun (IRE)from Jeffrey Ian Mulhern 1 0 0 13 Apr 14
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0033000·0·0014
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean McDermott 10 0 0% −10.00
Mr R A Latta 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr K H Clarke 5 0 0% −5.00
Mark Bolger 5 1 20% +12.00
Mr L J Murphy 3 0 0% −3.00
Ms K Walsh 3 0 0% −3.00
Andrew J McNamara 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean Flanagan 2 0 0% −2.00
Paddy Kennedy 2 0 0% −2.00
Robbie Moran 2 0 0% −2.00
Davy Condon 2 0 0% −2.00
Niki O'Shea 2 1 50% +19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£34,752
Prize money
2009
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Russian Buck (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) Thurles · Mar 2009
£8,983
Bold As Brass (IRE) — Under Mistletoe Mares Handicap Hurdle (rated 81-116) Gowran Park · Dec 2008
£8,638
Bold As Brass (IRE) — Pickardstown Handicap Hurdle (74-95) Tramore · Dec 2007
£5,874
Notable horses
Bold As Brass (IRE) Russian Buck (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Un Desperado (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 8% of 377 runs since 2008 (51 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 106.
Beat All (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Orpen (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9% of 4,037 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.
Waveney (UAE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 4.9% of 123 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 83 · newest first

The latest 50 of 83 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 14 February 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Feb 15 Gowran Park Suzie Supreme (IRE)J: Mr L J Murphy E.B.F. Ronan Lawlor Memorial Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 50/1
21 Jan 15 Fairyhouse Suzie Supreme (IRE)J: Robbie Moran Online Discounts At fairyhouse.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 15th 100/1
05 Jan 15 Thurles Suzie Supreme (IRE)J: Robbie Moran Thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle22f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran F 100/1
27 Dec 14 Limerick Suzie Supreme (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Greenmount Equine Hospital Mares Flat Race16f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 25/1
18 Jun 14 Wexford Paper Plane (IRE)J: Mr L J Murphy Barrow Mares Flat Race16f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 13th 40/1
13 Apr 14 Tramore Oisin Sun (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Tramore Family Fun Day Maiden Hurdle21f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 66/1
13 Apr 14 Tramore Blue Article (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 10th 50/1
15 Feb 14 Gowran Park Suzie Supreme (IRE)J: Mr L J Murphy Ronan Lawlor Memorial Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 25/1
01 Feb 14 Fairyhouse Nowe'reback (IRE)J: Ms K Walsh Sign Up For Fairyhouse Newsletter Mares (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 25/1
27 Oct 12 Wexford Sarsfields Legend (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Casey Cattle Slats Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)16f · Good · 15 ran 11th 12/1
10 Mar 12 Gowran Park Sarsfields Legend (IRE)J: Andrew J McNamara Goresbridge Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 20 ran 11th 20/1
15 Feb 12 Fairyhouse Sarsfields Legend (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Tote Sports Lounge Novice Handicap Hurdle (81-116)20f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1
04 Feb 12 Fairyhouse Sarsfields Legend (IRE)J: A P Heskin Tote Sports Lounge Novice Handicap Hurdle (81-116)20f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 50/1
17 Dec 11 Fairyhouse Sarsfields Legend (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Fairyhouse Membership 2012 Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 6th 33/1
15 Dec 11 Gowran Park Callisto Green (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Santas Little Helper Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 17th 66/1
03 Jun 11 Tramore Riberettos Song (IRE)J: Andrew P Thornton Cullencastle Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good To Firm · 14 ran PU 50/1
10 Feb 11 Thurles Riberettos Song (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Littleton Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 33/1
10 Feb 11 Thurles Callisto Green (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Cashel Maiden Hurdle22f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 66/1
13 Jan 11 Thurles Callisto Green (IRE)J: Ms K Walsh Horse And Jockey Mares Flat Race16f · Soft · 18 ran 12th 16/1
13 Jan 11 Thurles Riberettos Song (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Keegan's strike rate?
James Keegan has won 2 of 51 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is James Keegan's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 51 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).