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Trainer profile

Kieran Purcell

144 runners in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
4–144
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=144
18 (13%)
Placed
0.75
n=144 · 0.60 incl. margin
+60.50
£1 level stake
n=144 at SP · +42.0%
£61,912
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.75).

Deterministic profile computed from 144 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.9%
The read

3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle at Listowel (Sep 2012, £29,250). The stable star of the record: You Can't Catch Me (IRE) — 9 wins from 72 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%+1.2
n=25 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +126.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%+1.4
n=24 · A/E 2.23 · £1 +5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.9%+3.1
n=17 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+17.2
n=5 · A/E 4.94 · £1 +14.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.9%+0.1
n=68 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +112.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=43
With Mr P J Cody 5.7% vs 2.8% · n=35
On Good going 5.2% vs 2.8% · n=58
With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 2.8% · n=69 · A/E 0.50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 66 2 3% +104.00
Flat 38 1 2.6% −9.00
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 17 1 5.9% −11.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 58 3 5.2% −4.50
Soft 43 0 0% −43.00
Good to Soft 21 1 4.8% +130.00
Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 26 0 0% −26.00
Tramore 17 1 5.9% +134.00
Wexford 15 0 0% −15.00
Cork 12 0 0% −12.00
Clonmel 11 0 0% −11.00
Limerick 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 5 1 20% +0.50
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 5 1 20% +24.00
Punchestown 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.04 −1.50
4th–6th fav 32 0 0% 0.00 −32.00
7th+ in betting 103 3 2.9% 1.39 +96.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.9% completed · 83 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 17 76.5% 2 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 66 83.3% 1 1 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
You Done Well (IRE)then Declan Queally 16 1 2 3 Oct 25
Jetango (IRE)then W J Burke 10 0 2 17 Nov 22
Fest Deiz (FR) 10 1 3 17 Jul 22
You Played Well (IRE) 9 0 0 24 Jul 25
Deise Bhoy (IRE) 8 0 1 18 Sep 24
Quare Fast (IRE) 7 0 0 4 Oct 25
King Otis (IRE)then Billy Aprahamian 7 0 1 17 Nov 22
Ainm Bentley (GB) 6 0 0 23 Jun 25
Kingsgate (IRE)from Andrew Lee 6 0 1 6 Jun 22
Charles Kickham (GB) 5 0 1 2 Oct 26
Magic Defense (IRE) 5 0 0 20 May 24
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Lee (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000100056000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDonagh Meyler
32% of all rides
2.2% SR · A/E 0.45
RiderRWSR£1
Donagh Meyler 46 1 2.2% −40.50
Mr P J Cody 35 2 5.7% +145.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
71
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£845k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Burrenbridge Lodge (IRE) — Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (handicap) (grade C) Listowel · Sep 2012 · Grade C
£29,250
Burrenbridge Lodge (IRE) — Winning Fair Juvenile Hurdle (grade 2) Fairyhouse · Feb 2012 · Grade 2
£24,375
Paddy Pub (IRE) — Woodlands Park 100 Club Leinster National Handicap Chase (Grade C) Naas · Mar 2012 · Grade C
£19,500

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Decorated Knight (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.8% of 970 runs since 2008 (84 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.3% from 286. Weakest on Soft going: 5.7% from 141.
Portage (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 2.9% of 68 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Harzand (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,090 runs since 2008 (139 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.6% from 241. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,981 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.
Alberto Giacometti (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.8% of 578 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.8% from 101. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.2% from 112. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 115.
Jet Away (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,497 runs since 2008 (267 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 994 · newest first

The latest 50 of 994 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kieran Purcell's strike rate?
Kieran Purcell has won 4 of 144 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Kieran Purcell in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kieran Purcell's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 144 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).