Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 10.3%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.3%−6.2
n=30 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −26.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+1.6
n=9 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −7.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.3%+0.8
n=29 · A/E 2.11 · £1 −0.50
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −2.53
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.3%+0.8
n=68 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −27.28
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−9.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse3.3% vs 9.5% · n=30
On Good going5.3% vs 9.5% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m6.1% vs 9.5% · n=33
In Chase races11.9% vs 9.5% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase59711.9%−18.28
Hurdle1400%−14.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good3825.3%−23.20
Good to Soft1200%−12.00
Heavy10220%+5.50
Good to Firm8225%+0.75
Soft6116.7%−4.33
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham900%−9.00
Wincanton8112.5%−0.50
Stratford700%−7.00
Newton Abbot6116.7%+2.00
Ludlow400%−4.00
Exeter4250%+4.75
Warwick400%−4.00
Leicester3133.3%−1.33
Hereford3133.3%+10.00
Worcester300%−3.00
Market Rasen200%−2.00
Huntingdon2150%−0.20
Doncaster200%−2.00
Ffos Las200%−2.00
Chepstow200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 42713.7%−14.00
Class 51815.6%−13.00
Class 618527.8%+4.72
Class 2600%−6.00
Class 3500%−5.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite7342.9%1.25+1.47
2nd–3rd fav16318.8%1.17+8.75
4th–6th fav2015%0.58−12.50
7th+ in betting3100%0.00−31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m3326.1%−21.25
Over 3m25312%−2.70
2m1f – 2m4f13215.4%−6.33
1m5f – 2m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20085120%+0.00
2009800%−8.00
20104125%+4.00
2011500%−5.00
2012700%−7.00
2013300%−3.00
20148225%+1.17
2015100%−1.00
2016300%−3.00
2017300%−3.00
2018200%−2.00
2019400%−4.00
2020200%−2.00
20217228.6%+9.75
20227114.3%−5.20
2023200%−2.00
2024300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3013.3%−17.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners2328.7%−13.33
11-13 runners2015%−15.00
5-7 runners1417.1%−6.50
14-16 runners900%−9.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
2-4 runners33100%+15.55
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 30 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
201086110···01000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Wick Green (GB) — Download The Star Sports App Now Handicap Chase Hereford · Nov 2021 · Class 4
£3,594
Le Breuil (FR) — Pertemps Network Group Open Hunters' Chase Huntingdon · May 2022 · Class 6
£2,053
Milesian King (IRE) — Farmers Friend Of Exeter Novices' Hunters' Chase Exeter · May 2008 · Class 5
Progeny have won 11.5% of 723 runs since 2008 (83 horses).
Kier Park (IRE)20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 11.1% of 287 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Saddlers' Hall (IRE)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,772 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Anzillero (GER)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.7% of 551 runs since 2009 (75 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9.7% from 267. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.3% from 120.
Broadway Flyer (USA)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11% of 743 runs since 2008 (68 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 101 · newest first
The latest 50 of 101 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 February 2005 to 31 May 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr Peter Mason's strike rate?
Mr Peter Mason has won 7 of 74 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Peter Mason's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 74 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr Peter Mason·SR 9.5%·A/E 0.91
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