What is Charlie Longsdon's strike rate?

Charlie Longsdon has won 156 of 1,187 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charlie Longsdon do best at?

Bangor-on-Dee by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Charlie Longsdon?

Lilly Pinchin, with 349 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (13.5%).

Is Charlie Longsdon in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Charlie Longsdon's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Charlie Longsdon

1,187 runners in the last 5 seasons · 137 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.6% of 232 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 27 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

156–1,187

Wins / Runs

13.1%

Strike rate

n=1,187

377 (32%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,185 · 0.88 incl. margin

−303.75

£1 level stake

n=1,187 at SP · −25.6%

£1.80m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Debutants are a strength: 19% on first career starts (63 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,187 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Nov 34.1% when favourite Lilly Pinchin: 13.5% from 349 Claiming riders: 13.4% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (2.9% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 19% (n=63, Fair A/E 1.74), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.28). Lilly Pinchin rides 29% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.5%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 33 runners, 13.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.25 across 52 runners (1.9% strike, −50.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Unibet Becher Handicap Chase at Aintree (Dec 2021, £84,195). The stable star of the record: Kilfinichen Bay (IRE) — 13 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12%−1.1

n=275 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −117.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.9%−6.2

n=29 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −18.17

Debutants · first career start

19%+5.9

n=63 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +10.49

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.8%−4.3

n=57 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −17.84

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.1%−10.0

n=32 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −26.00

When favourite

34.1%

n=126 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −16.98

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.4%+0.3

n=305 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −119.63

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−9.3

n=26 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −24.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 13.1% · n=33

In Class 1 1.9% vs 13.1% · n=52

With Brian Hughes 22.6% vs 13.1% · n=53

At Cheltenham 2.9% vs 13.1% · n=34

With headgear back on 3.1% vs 13.1% · n=32

At Chepstow 4.3% vs 13.1% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 625 78 12.5% −205.91

Chase 445 66 14.8% −61.25

NH Flat 70 10 14.3% −10.59

Flat 47 2 4.3% −26.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 559 70 12.5% −191.21

Good to Soft 345 44 12.8% −46.31

Soft 193 31 16.1% −26.48

Heavy 36 6 16.7% −17.25

Good to Firm 27 3 11.1% −16.50

Standard (AW) 27 2 7.4% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 101 15 14.9% −8.28

Huntingdon 89 14 15.7% −31.03

Doncaster 69 8 11.6% −13.43

Warwick 64 11 17.2% −3.43

Hereford 61 11 18% −20.79

Uttoxeter 60 7 11.7% −33.25

Southwell 52 9 17.3% +50.30

Ludlow 48 6 12.5% −17.26

Chepstow 47 2 4.3% −28.50

Stratford 46 5 10.9% −16.00

Market Rasen 41 4 9.8% −18.38

Fontwell 40 6 15% −13.93

Newbury 35 3 8.6% −15.00

Cheltenham 34 1 2.9% −25.00

Bangor-on-Dee 33 6 18.2% +8.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 561 80 14.3% −115.41

Class 5 318 41 12.9% −71.39

Class 3 161 25 15.5% −31.20

Class 2 81 8 9.9% −34.75

Class 1 52 1 1.9% −50.00

Class 6 13 1 7.7% +0.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 149 47 31.5% 1.01 −24.65

2nd–3rd fav 346 68 19.7% 1.08 −30.60

4th–6th fav 412 31 7.5% 0.88 −123.50

7th+ in betting 280 10 3.6% 1.04 −125.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.4% completed · 1,070 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 445 79.6% 17 5 69 0 0

Hurdle 625 87.8% 11 2 63 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Zestful Hope (FR) 39 5 11 5 Jul 26

Almazhar Garde (FR) 36 4 14 22 Apr 26

Parramount (GB) 30 4 13 24 Apr 26

Alien Storm (IRE) 29 5 11 11 Oct 26

Midnight Jewel (GB)from Kayley Woollacott 29 8 12 3 Oct 26

Ikigai Star (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 24 3 4 6 Oct 26

Maninsane (IRE) 23 2 6 2 Jan 25

Imperial Jade (IRE) 22 3 9 17 Apr 26

Stroll On By (IRE) 22 3 12 4 Dec 25

Miss Applejack (GB) 22 3 4 5 Jun 25

Glimpse Of Gala (GB) 21 3 7 21 Mar 25

Rare Edition (IRE) 20 6 8 31 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 137 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Emma Lavelle (4) and Sarah Humphrey (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

12171361113141918141611

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLilly Pinchin

29% of all rides
13.5% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Lilly Pinchin 349 47 13.5% −72.05

David Bass 130 16 12.3% −40.67

Paul O'Brien 115 16 13.9% −0.29

Bradley Roberts 68 11 16.2% −28.03

Brian Hughes 53 12 22.6% +10.25

Jonathan Burke 48 5 10.4% −22.09

Daire McConville 48 7 14.6% −14.42

Sean Bowen 44 8 18.2% −18.37

Richie McLernon 32 4 12.5% −0.17

Sam Twiston-Davies 30 3 10% +6.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

803

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.61m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 75 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Snow Leopardess (GB) — Unibet Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2021 · Grade 3

£84,195

Pete The Feat (IRE) — 32Red Veterans' Handicap Chase (The Final Of The 2016 Veterans' Chase Series) Sandown · Jan 2017 · Class 2

£61,900

Pendra (IRE) — Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ascot · Oct 2015 · Grade 3

£56,950

Notable horses

Kilfinichen Bay (IRE) Loose Chips (GB) Midnight Jewel (GB) Midnight Shot (GB) Grandads Horse (GB) Jamacho (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mount Nelson (GB) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,265 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,823 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Getaway (GER) 15.7% · 8–51

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,930 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Jet Away (GB) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,516 runs since 2008 (271 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,616 runs since 2008 (724 horses).

Midnight Legend (GB) 20.5% · 8–39

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,877 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,877 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2006 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Action Replay (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Site Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 300/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso New Order (IRE)J: David Bass Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 2/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Realisation (FR)J: Sean Quinlan Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 7/2

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Mysterland (FR)J: David Bass Mw Civils & Groundworks Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Hay Max (IRE)J: Brian Hughes The Roflow Specialist Ventilation & Dehumidification 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 1st 13/2

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Annies Pass (GB)J: James Bowen Pertemps Network "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Glenmuick (GB)J: David Bass Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Ade Boy (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke We Buy Cars On The Go Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Seamoon Story (IRE)J: Daire McConville D&M Groundworks Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 4/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Roxy Russet (GB)J: Jonathan Burke BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 11/2

13 Oct 26 Southwell Pippin's Legend (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell Anxious Moments (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 18/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Alien Storm (IRE)J: David Bass Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Freshers Week (IRE)J: Daire McConville Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 10th 11/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Not At That Price (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 6/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Action Replay (IRE)J: Richie McLernon FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 300/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Delpotro (FR)J: Sean Bowen Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 15/8

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Ikigai Star (IRE)J: David Bass 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/2

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Midnight Jewel (GB)J: James Bowen Free Bets On Attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/2

25 Sep 26 Worcester Action Replay (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Charlie Longsdon's strike rate?: Charlie Longsdon has won 156 of 1,187 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Longsdon do best at?: Bangor-on-Dee by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charlie Longsdon?: Lilly Pinchin, with 349 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (13.5%).
Is Charlie Longsdon in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Charlie Longsdon's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.