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Jockey profile

Mr S Welton

36 rides in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2013 97% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–36
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=36
9 (25%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=36 · 0.96 incl. margin
−21.38
£1 level stake
n=36 at SP · −59.4%
£9,285
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5%−3.3
n=20 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −12.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
100%+91.7
n=1 · A/E 5.16 · £1 +3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
25%+16.7
n=4 · A/E 4.05 · £1 +4.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.3%+0.0
n=36 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −21.38
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.3%+0.0
n=12 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 24 3 12.5% −9.38
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 6 3 50% +8.62
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newcastle 3 1 33.3% −0.38
Exeter 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Wincanton 2 1 50% +2.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 0 0% −2.00
Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00
Kelso 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 13 3 23.1% +1.62
Class 4 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 2 100% 3.81 +4.62
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 10 1 10% 1.48 −2.00
7th+ in betting 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.5% completed · 24 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 24 87.5% 1 1 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bunclody (GB) 5 1 3 15 Feb 11
Float My Boat (GB) 4 0 2 15 Jul 12
Home Run (GER) 3 2 2 27 Feb 13
Red Rocco (IRE) 3 0 2 23 Mar 11
Mr Trilby (IRE) 2 0 0 10 Oct 13
Ptolomeos (GB) 2 0 0 30 Mar 12
Barron Watlass (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Mar 11
Greenbelt (GB) 2 0 0 14 Feb 11
Bogside Theatre (IRE) 2 0 0 28 Dec 10
Ladyvie (FR) 1 0 0 11 Oct 12
Shelomoh (IRE) 1 0 0 4 Jun 12
Carriglea Wood (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Nov 11
All 20 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01700000··0033
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
George Moore 21 1 4.8% −18.38
Sean Regan 6 0 0% −6.00
David Pipe 6 2 33.3% +6.00
Charlie Mann 2 0 0% −2.00
James Turner 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
3
Archived wins
£9,285
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
Home Run (GER) — Bet With The Racing UK App Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Dec 2012 · Class 5
£2,274
Home Run (GER) — Bathwick Tyres Novices' Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Dec 2012 · Class 5
£1,949
Bunclody (GB) — Parklands Golf Course Maiden Hurdle Newcastle · Feb 2011 · Class 5
£1,724
Notable horses
Home Run (GER) Bunclody (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Overbury (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Beat All (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Croco Rouge (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 723 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.8% from 120.
Motivator (GB) 66.7% · 2–3
Progeny have won 12% of 5,595 runs since 2009 (515 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 16% from 1,090. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,281. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 593. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 574.
Accordion (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).
Desert Prince (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 36 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mr S Welton's 36 archived rides, from 13 October 2009 to 10 October 2013, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 13 Exeter Mr Trilby (IRE)T: David Pipe Bathwick Tyres Taunton Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 12/1
25 Jun 13 Newton Abbot Mr Trilby (IRE)T: David Pipe Triton Galleries Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 16 ran 9th 8/1
27 Feb 13 Wincanton Home Run (GER)T: David Pipe Higos Award Winning Insurance Advice Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran UR 3/1
26 Dec 12 Wincanton Home Run (GER)T: David Pipe Bathwick Tyres Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 3/1J
07 Dec 12 Exeter Home Run (GER)T: David Pipe Bet With The Racing UK App Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 7/1
11 Oct 12 Exeter Ladyvie (FR)T: David Pipe South West Athletes Celebration Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 12/1
15 Jul 12 Southwell Float My Boat (GB)T: Sean Regan chad.co.uk Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 15 ran 9th 18/1
04 Jun 12 Towcester Shelomoh (IRE)T: James Turner Wallace Hind Selection 20th Anniversary Racing Excellence 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional/Amateur)Class 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 16/1
02 Jun 12 Stratford Float My Boat (GB)T: Sean Regan Better Prices On Betfair Mobile Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 8/1
19 May 12 Uttoxeter Float My Boat (GB)T: Sean Regan Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 20/1
20 Apr 12 Southwell Float My Boat (GB)T: Sean Regan Carriage Driving Sports Group Dd Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 50/1
30 Mar 12 Wetherby Ptolomeos (GB)T: Sean Regan Highland Jimmy Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 100/1
19 Mar 12 Southwell Ptolomeos (GB)T: Sean Regan Golf And Racing At Southwell Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 50/1
26 Nov 11 Newbury Carriglea Wood (IRE)T: Charlie Mann Sportingbet Novices' HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 66/1
11 Nov 11 Cheltenham King Brex (DEN)T: Charlie Mann Cheltenhamcollection.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21f · Good · 23 ran 18th 66/1
11 Apr 11 Hexham Kealshore (GB)T: George Moore Durham C.C.C. Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 12/1
25 Mar 11 Sedgefield Turf Trivia (GB)T: George Moore Cleanerairsolutions.co.uk Solar Powered Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 7th 16/1
23 Mar 11 Haydock Red Rocco (IRE)T: George Moore TurfTV Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 33/1
13 Mar 11 Market Rasen The Shy Man (IRE)T: George Moore Martin Dent Final Flight Of Freedom Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 7th 10/1
13 Mar 11 Market Rasen Barron Watlass (IRE)T: George Moore bodugi.com Launches Social Betting Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr S Welton's strike rate?
Mr S Welton has won 3 of 36 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr S Welton's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 36 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).