No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).
Deterministic profile computed from 203 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 4.1%
The read
The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −18.50 to a £1 stake over 169 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10%, n=50). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 38 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.5%−2.4
n=68 · A/E 0.45 · £1 +13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+10.4
n=7 · A/E 4.59 · £1 +8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.1%+0.2
n=169 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −18.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f10% vs 3.9% · n=50
With horses switching code9.1% vs 3.9% · n=33
Over 1m – 1m1f0% vs 3.9% · n=38
Off a break of 180+ days0% vs 3.9% · n=35
On Good to Soft going0% vs 3.9% · n=30
On Good going6.5% vs 3.9% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat12154.1%+24.00
Hurdle6334.8%−40.50
NH Flat1600%−16.00
Chase300%−3.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm5223.8%−45.00
Good4636.5%+54.50
Standard (AW)3512.9%−18.00
Good to Soft3000%−30.00
Soft3026.7%+13.00
Heavy1000%−10.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Nottingham1815.6%+16.00
Fakenham1400%−14.00
Newcastle (AW)1400%−14.00
Huntingdon1300%−13.00
Catterick1200%−12.00
Towcester12325%+10.50
Redcar900%−9.00
Yarmouth9111.1%+0.00
Wolverhampton (AW)800%−8.00
Lingfield (AW)7114.3%+10.00
Newcastle700%−7.00
Market Rasen700%−7.00
Southwell700%−7.00
Carlisle700%−7.00
Ripon6116.7%+75.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 69444.3%+34.00
Class 56534.6%−28.50
Class 44112.4%−38.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite9333.3%1.47+2.50
2nd–3rd fav700%0.00−7.00
4th–6th fav5723.5%0.54−31.00
7th+ in betting13032.3%1.09+0.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m6534.6%−42.50
1m2f – 1m4f50510%+95.00
1m – 1m1f3800%−38.00
2m1f – 2m4f2700%−27.00
6f – 7f1500%−15.00
2m5f – 3m600%−6.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081400%−14.00
20092015%−3.00
20103113.2%−22.00
20112727.4%−9.00
20122528%+13.50
2013900%−9.00
20141500%−15.00
201511218.2%+74.00
2016700%−7.00
20171500%−15.00
20181500%−15.00
20191400%−14.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps13975%+11.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners7822.6%+37.00
8-10 runners6734.5%−41.50
14-16 runners3313%−18.00
5-7 runners2328.7%−11.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 20 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.
4 have since run for another yard; 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00110950120000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tourtiere (GB) — Boogie In The Morning Handicap Musselburgh · Aug 2015 · Class 6
£3,235
Tourtiere (GB) — Beaumont Robinson Ladies' Derby Handicap (lady Amateur Riders) Ripon · Jun 2015 · Class 6
£3,120
Sheila's Castle (GB) — 100 Acre Woods Median Auction Maiden Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Aug 2009 · Class 5
Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.
Alflora (IRE)0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Tamure (IRE)18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 10% of 896 runs since 2008 (76 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.4% from 128. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 180.
Beat All (USA)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 207 · newest first
The latest 50 of 207 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 May 2005 to 15 November 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Sean Regan's strike rate?
Sean Regan has won 8 of 203 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Sean Regan's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 203 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Sean Regan·SR 3.9%·A/E 0.82
KTB
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