Mrs V Davies
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 7% (42 rides). Rode mostly for Ron Barr — 96% of rides in the window.
The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −67.00 to a £1 stake over 112 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ron Barr supplied 96% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.60). The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (9.1%, n=44) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (8.1%, n=37). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 34 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.82 across 83 rides (6% strike, −38.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 119 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 119 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2005 to 1 August 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mrs V Davies's strike rate?
- Mrs V Davies has won 5 of 112 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Mrs V Davies ride most for?
- Ron Barr, with 107 rides since 2008 — 96% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).
- What is Mrs V Davies's Fair A/E?
- 0.58, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.