What is Neville Bycroft's strike rate?

Neville Bycroft has won 72 of 930 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Neville Bycroft do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Neville Bycroft?

Franny Norton, with 78 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (11.5%).

What is Neville Bycroft's Fair A/E?

1.17, from 927 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Neville Bycroft

930 runners in the lifetime window · 92 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2018 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

72–930

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=930

212 (23%)

Placed

1.17

Fair A/E

n=927 · 1.00 incl. margin

−149.42

£1 level stake

n=930 at SP · −16.1%

£369k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 930 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun 31% when favourite Franny Norton: 11.5% from 78 Sent off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Thirsk (2.9% over 68 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 4.3% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.68). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.55 and +10.33 to a £1 stake over 178 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Franny Norton rode 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.5% vs 7.7%, A/E 1.86) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.8%, n=80). The record read poorly in Hurdle races — 2.4% over 42 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar (Sep 2006, £113,560). The stable star of the record was Shotley Mac (GB) — 8 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%−0.4

n=178 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +10.33

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.9%−0.8

n=29 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −6.50

Debutants · first career start

4.3%−3.4

n=47 · A/E 1.68 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12%+4.3

n=25 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +23.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.4%−2.3

n=37 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −19.50

When favourite

31%

n=42 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +1.83

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.6%−1.1

n=379 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −79.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.7

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 7.7% · n=68

With C&D winners 15.4% vs 7.7% · n=136

Off a 0-7-day break 13.8% vs 7.7% · n=80

With horses switching code 0% vs 7.7% · n=32

At Thirsk 2.9% vs 7.7% · n=68

In Hurdle races 2.4% vs 7.7% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 862 68 7.9% −110.42

Hurdle 42 1 2.4% −39.00

NH Flat 23 3 13% +3.00

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 290 19 6.6% −89.37

Good 267 21 7.9% −63.00

Good to Soft 128 14 10.9% +58.50

Standard (AW) 102 7 6.9% +5.12

Soft 98 8 8.2% −33.67

Heavy 30 3 10% −12.00

Firm 15 0 0% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Beverley 176 19 10.8% −23.62

Redcar 175 16 9.1% +32.75

Catterick 85 6 7.1% −37.17

Thirsk 68 2 2.9% −36.00

Southwell (AW) 66 7 10.6% +41.12

Ripon 64 4 6.3% −28.00

Newcastle 39 2 5.1% −24.50

Doncaster 35 2 5.7% −18.00

York 34 1 2.9% −21.00

Pontefract 31 4 12.9% +1.00

Carlisle 26 3 11.5% +40.00

Nottingham 22 1 4.5% −1.00

Newcastle (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Wetherby 16 1 6.3% −13.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 382 38 9.9% +46.63

Class 6 331 19 5.7% −165.17

Class 4 169 13 7.7% +1.12

Class 3 28 1 3.6% −25.00

Class 2 16 1 6.3% −3.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 13 27.1% 1.13 −4.17

2nd–3rd fav 116 19 16.4% 1.18 −0.25

4th–6th fav 237 21 8.9% 1.21 +26.50

7th+ in betting 529 19 3.6% 1.17 −171.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Maybeme (GB) 64 7 17 4 May 15

Eeny Mac (IRE)then John Wainwright 53 6 18 4 Oct 14

Valentine's Gift (GB)then John Wainwright 39 2 5 2 Dec 14

Shotley Mac (GB) 37 8 12 20 Oct 12

Willbeme (GB)then Simon West 34 5 11 11 May 17

Adiator (GB)then Seb Spencer 34 2 12 26 Apr 17

Fama Mac (GB) 33 2 9 8 Jan 15

Eium Mac (GB) 29 2 10 21 Oct 17

Efidium (GB)then Suzzanne France 29 1 9 9 Aug 10

Umverti (GB)then Joanne Foster 28 6 11 18 Oct 10

Red Fama (GB) 26 5 9 14 Oct 11

Uddy Mac (GB) 26 0 6 14 Oct 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 92 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Wainwright (4); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for John Wainwright (5) and Seb Spencer (5); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

3233612116114735

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFranny Norton

8% of all rides
11.5% SR · A/E 1.86

RiderRWSR£1

Franny Norton 78 9 11.5% +19.00

Andrew Elliott 76 8 10.5% +50.50

Terence Fury 41 1 2.4% −20.00

Jimmy Quinn 32 3 9.4% −11.75

Duran Fentiman 31 1 3.2% −27.25

Mr Seb Spencer 31 3 9.7% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£616k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 13 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Danum Dancer (GB) — Totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed) Redcar · Sep 2006 · Listed

£113,560

Willbeme (GB) — BetBright For Your World Cup Bets Choose EBF Nominated Fillies' Handicap York · Jun 2014 · Class 2

£16,173

Danum Dancer (GB) — Sailors Families Society Nursery Handicap Beverley · Aug 2006 · Class 3

£9,716

Notable horses

Shotley Mac (GB) Maybeme (GB) Eeny Mac (IRE) Umverti (GB) Willbeme (GB) Dium Mac (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presidium (GB) 4% · 5–124

Progeny have won 2.5% of 321 runs since 2008 (42 horses).

Lujain (USA) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Fraam (GB) 11.9% · 7–59

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since 2008 (136 horses).

Redback (GB) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.

Needwood Blade (GB) 4.9% · 2–41

Progeny have won 7.9% of 2,746 runs since 2008 (187 horses).

Abou Zouz (USA) 20% · 8–40

Progeny have won 13.8% of 58 runs since 2008 (6 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,350 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,350 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2005 to 3 January 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Jan 18 Wolverhampton (AW) Sunnyside Bob (IRE)J: Faye McManoman sunbets.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 16/1

19 Dec 17 Catterick Muirsheen Durkin (GB)J: Henry Brooke Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/1

02 Dec 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Sunnyside Bob (IRE)J: Faye McManoman sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 28/1

30 Nov 17 Newcastle (AW) Shudbeme (GB)J: Harrison Shaw sunbets.co.uk Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 50/1

21 Oct 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Eium Mac (GB)J: Jane Elliott FCL Personalised Global Freight Solutions Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 6/1

21 Oct 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Sunnyside Bob (IRE)J: Robert Winston FCL Personalised Global Freight Solutions Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 16/1

20 Oct 17 Redcar Showdance Kid (GB)J: Dougie Costello Racing UK In Glorious HD HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 8/1

10 Oct 17 Leicester Showdance Kid (GB)J: Cameron Noble Leveret Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 7/1

23 Sep 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Showdance Kid (GB)J: Dougie Costello Lancaster Bomber HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 7/1

22 Sep 17 Newcastle (AW) Sunnyside Bob (IRE)J: Faye McManoman DSE HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 33/1

20 Sep 17 Beverley Euro Mac (GB)J: Jane Elliott Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Apprentice Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 4/1

19 Sep 17 Redcar Madrinho (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Weatherbys Bank Foreign Exchange Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 12/1

09 Sep 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Eium Mac (GB)J: Jane Elliott Celebrate Christmas At Wolverhampton Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 20/1

02 Sep 17 Beverley Shudbeme (GB)J: Lulu Stanford Reader's 60 Not Out Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 25/1

31 Aug 17 Musselburgh Sunnyside Bob (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Scott Coppola Electrical Distributors HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 16/1

29 Aug 17 Carlisle Euro Mac (GB)J: Jamie Gormley Carr's Group Plc HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 9/2F

27 Aug 17 Beverley Muirsheen Durkin (GB)J: Dougie Costello Pat And Graham Roberts Sapphire Wedding Anniversary HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 16/1

26 Aug 17 Redcar Showdance Kid (GB)J: Dougie Costello All New Racinguk.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 3rd 14/1

14 Aug 17 Ripon Euro Mac (GB)J: Gemma Tutty Visit Ripon-races.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 1st 8/1

10 Aug 17 Newcastle (AW) Sunnyside Bob (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Newcastle United Betting At 188Bet HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neville Bycroft's strike rate?: Neville Bycroft has won 72 of 930 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neville Bycroft do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Neville Bycroft?: Franny Norton, with 78 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (11.5%).
What is Neville Bycroft's Fair A/E?: 1.17, from 927 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.