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Jockey profile

Nicola Walsh

61 rides in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2012 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–61
Wins / Runs
1.6%
Strike rate
n=61
4 (7%)
Placed
0.46
Fair A/E
n=61 · 0.34 incl. margin
−44.00
£1 level stake
n=61 at SP · −72.1%
£8,106
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.6%+2.0
n=28 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −11.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.6
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.6%+0.0
n=61 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −44.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
2%+0.4
n=49 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −32.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 1.6% vs 1.6% · n=61 · A/E 0.46
When claiming 1.6% vs 1.6% · n=61 · A/E 0.46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Good 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 18 0 0% −18.00
Navan 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 3 1 33.3% +14.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Cork 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
7th+ in betting 57 1 1.8% 0.56 −40.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Daybreak Skies (IRE) 6 0 0 8 Dec 10
Shaykhan (IRE) 6 0 1 3 Aug 08
Royal Approval (GB) 5 0 0 19 Jun 10
Imply (GB) 4 0 1 27 Oct 08
Parc Aux Boules (GB) 3 1 1 3 Apr 11
Glenmore Lad (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Oct 09
Leitmotif (USA) 3 0 0 23 Jul 09
Ufallya (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Jul 09
Barrow High (IRE) 3 0 0 8 Jul 09
Akimbo (USA) 3 0 0 6 Apr 09
Pacey Outswinger (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Jul 11
Little Village (IRE) 2 0 0 25 Jun 10
All 28 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··000000250·0
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn C McConnell
70% of all rides
2.3% SR · A/E 0.70
TrainerRWSR£1
John C McConnell 43 1 2.3% −26.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
1
Archived wins
£8,994
Prize money
2010
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Parc Aux Boules (GB) — Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (50-70) Roscommon · Sep 2010
£6,555
Notable horses
Parc Aux Boules (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Royal Applause (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Elusive City (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,429 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Polar Falcon (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8% of 261 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Beat Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Kingmambo (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 14.5% of 1,093 runs since 2008 (137 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 10.9% from 138. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 18.1% from 243.
Linamix (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 64 · newest first

The latest 50 of 64 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 September 2007 to 14 October 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 12 Curragh Jpevie (IRE)T: John C McConnell Stephen Quirke Memorial Apprentice Handicap8f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/1
21 May 12 Roscommon Blue Ridge Lane (IRE)T: John C McConnell Connolly's Red Mills Horse Care Cubes Handicap (50-80)12f · Good · 15 ran 12th 14/1
13 Apr 12 Dundalk (AW) Grainne Whale (IRE)T: John C McConnell www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 12/1
14 Jul 11 Leopardstown Choc U Zel Nell (IRE)T: John C McConnell Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-70)10f · Good · 8 ran 7th 20/1
08 Jul 11 Gowran Park Pacey Outswinger (IRE)T: John C McConnell Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60)8f · Good · 16 ran 13th 16/1
24 Jun 11 Curragh Gallos Secret (IRE)T: John C McConnell Sycamore Lodge Equine Hospital Maiden8f · Yielding · 22 ran 22nd 50/1
03 Apr 11 Curragh Parc Aux Boules (GB)T: John C McConnell Celebrating Mother's Day At The Races Handicap (55-80)6f · Heavy · 20 ran 9th 16/1
08 Dec 10 Dundalk (AW) Daybreak Skies (IRE)T: John C McConnell Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Package Handicap (47-75)10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 25/1
11 Oct 10 Curragh Rue De Cabestan (IRE)T: T G McCourt Stephen Quirke Memorial Apprentice Handicap (50-85)8f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 20th 25/1
06 Oct 10 Navan Daybreak Skies (IRE)T: John C McConnell Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-65)5f · Yielding · 23 ran 15th 25/1
30 Sep 10 Ayr Parc Aux Boules (GB)T: John C McConnell Bud And Joe Pieroni Memorial Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 11/2
27 Sep 10 Roscommon Parc Aux Boules (GB)T: John C McConnell Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (50-70)7f · Yielding · 15 ran 1st 16/1
06 Aug 10 Tipperary Brockovich (IRE)T: John Geoghegan Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60)7.5f · Good · 15 ran 15th 20/1
02 Aug 10 Naas Mc Coringham (IRE)T: John C McConnell Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden7f · Good · 16 ran 16th 50/1
17 Jul 10 Curragh Daybreak Skies (IRE)T: John C McConnell Joe Feane Lifetime Achievement In Racing Handicap (50-80)6f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 16th 33/1
25 Jun 10 Curragh Little Village (IRE)T: John C McConnell Sycamore Lodge Equine Hospital Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 17th 66/1
19 Jun 10 Down Royal Royal Approval (GB)T: John C McConnell Fonacab 90333333 Handicap (47-60)13f · Firm · 12 ran 9th 33/1
18 Jun 10 Limerick Royal Approval (GB)T: John C McConnell Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60)11.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 25/1
13 May 10 Gowran Park Proud Catch (IRE)T: Mark L Fagan Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60)9.5f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 4th 16/1
30 Apr 10 Cork Daybreak Skies (IRE)T: John C McConnell www.corkracecourse.ie Handicap (47-70)5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicola Walsh's strike rate?
Nicola Walsh has won 1 of 61 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Nicola Walsh's Fair A/E?
0.46, from 61 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).