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Jockey profile

Nicolas Astier

28 rides in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–28
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=28
4 (14%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=28 · 0.81 incl. margin
+39.00
£1 level stake
n=28 at SP · +139.3%
£23,782
Prize money (window)

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.9%+2.3
n=17 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +50.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−3.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−3.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 16 1 6.3% +51.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Marseille Borely (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Vichy (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Salon-de-Provence (FR) 3 1 33.3% +64.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 22 1 4.5% 1.69 +45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Joyeuse De Romay (FR) 4 0 0 21 Oct 26
Kandors (FR) 4 0 0 7 Oct 26
Rue Madon (FR) 3 0 1 26 Oct 26
Eglantine (FR) 3 1 3 21 Oct 26
Orea De Romay (FR) 2 0 0 26 Oct 26
Pestacle (FR) 1 0 0 26 Oct 26
Lady Mana (FR) 1 0 0 26 Oct 26
Cote D'or (FR) 1 0 0 21 Oct 26
La Haute Isle (FR) 1 0 0 12 Oct 26
Soan (FR) 1 0 0 29 Sep 26
Happy Again (FR) 1 0 0 29 Sep 26
Lily Ofthe Kingdon (FR) 1 0 0 26 Sep 26
All 17 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
F Foresi 23 1 4.3% +44.00
R Fradet 2 0 0% −2.00
E Bernhardt 1 0 0% −1.00
Mme A-L Guildoux 1 0 0% −1.00
M Planard 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
1
Archived wins
£23,782
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
Eglantine (FR) — Prix Fyrial Pursuit Salon-de-Provence (FR) · Sep 2026
£7,200
Notable horses
Eglantine (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
American Devil (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.9% of 546 runs since 2018 (78 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.9% from 144.
Golden Horde (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.7% of 311 runs since 2024 (61 horses).
Sealiway (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10% of 110 runs since 2026 (36 horses).
Intello (GER) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,496 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.6% from 233. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.
Penny's Picnic (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,454 runs since 2017 (172 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10.1% from 328. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.3% from 428.
Rio De La Plata (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,519 runs since 2016 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 254.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 28 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Nicolas Astier's 28 archived rides, from 5 January 2026 to 26 October 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Orea De Romay (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Serena6f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 22/1
26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Pestacle (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Henry Blanc9f · Heavy · 16 ran 8th 13/2
26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Lady Mana (FR)T: F Foresi Prix De Chavagnac10.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 16/1
26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Rue Madon (FR)T: F Foresi Prix De La Region Sud - Provence - Alpes-cote D'azur10f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 16/1
21 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Eglantine (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Des Alpilles9f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
21 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Joyeuse De Romay (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Joseph Creisson Handicap9f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 10/1
21 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Cote D'or (FR)T: F Foresi Prix De L'association Des Proprietaires Province-paris5.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 11/1
12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) La Haute Isle (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Louis EspanetClass 3 · 10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 28/1
12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Rue Madon (FR)T: F Foresi Prix D'orange8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 66/1
07 Oct 26 Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) Kandors (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Twig Maiden Stakes10f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 66/1
29 Sep 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Happy Again (FR)T: E Bernhardt Prix Des MarseillaisesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1
29 Sep 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Rue Madon (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Du Syndicat Des Eleveurs Du Sud-est10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 66/1
29 Sep 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Soan (FR)T: R Fradet Prix Henri CabassuClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 100/1
26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Joyeuse De Romay (FR)T: F Foresi Le Charly's - Prix Du PaddockClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 14/1
26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Lily Ofthe Kingdon (FR)T: Mme A-L Guildoux Fondation Claude Pompidou - Prix Du PesageClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Coupe D'europe (FR)T: R Fradet Prix De L'esplanadeClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 25/1
25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Kandors (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Raymond Godinez9f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Eglantine (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Georges Camprubi9f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 28/1
14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Eglantine (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Fyrial Pursuit9f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 66/1
03 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Kandors (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Vincent8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicolas Astier's strike rate?
Nicolas Astier has won 1 of 28 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Is Nicolas Astier in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).