F Foresi
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87). New recruits from other yards win at 11% first time out (35 runs).
It is weakest at Vichy (FR) (2.6% over 77 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 11.4% (n=35, Fair A/E 2.05). The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (10.6%, n=47). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 3% over 33 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.48 across 55 runners (3.6% strike, −38.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 708 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 708 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 April 2007 to 12 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is F Foresi's strike rate?
- F Foresi has won 17 of 262 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does F Foresi do best at?
- Chantilly by strike rate: 5 wins from 56 runners (8.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is F Foresi in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is F Foresi's Fair A/E?
- 0.87, from 262 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.