No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–40
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=40
5 (13%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=40 · 0.47 incl. margin
−37.00
£1 level stake
n=40 at SP · −92.5%
£12,514
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.5
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.5%+0.0
n=40 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −37.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.5
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races0% vs 2.5% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle3300%−33.00
NH Flat5120%−2.00
Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good1700%−17.00
Soft1300%−13.00
Good to Soft700%−7.00
Good to Firm2150%+1.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick500%−5.00
Fairyhouse500%−5.00
Kilbeggan400%−4.00
Bellewstown400%−4.00
Punchestown400%−4.00
Cork300%−3.00
Wexford300%−3.00
Kelso11100%+2.00
Perth100%−1.00
Tramore100%−1.00
Thurles100%−1.00
Sligo100%−1.00
Roscommon100%−1.00
Navan100%−1.00
Naas100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 52150%+1.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%1.25+1.00
2nd–3rd fav100%0.00−1.00
4th–6th fav400%0.00−4.00
7th+ in betting3300%0.00−33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m1915.3%−16.00
2m1f – 2m4f1500%−15.00
2m5f – 3m600%−6.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2017200%−2.00
20189111.1%−6.00
20191400%−14.00
20201500%−15.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1600%−16.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners1900%−19.00
17+ runners600%−6.00
11-13 runners500%−5.00
5-7 runners500%−5.00
8-10 runners5120%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 25 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000020000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,633 runs since 2008 (126 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.6% from 373. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 160.
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,585 runs since 2008 (101 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 618. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.2% from 248.
Dubai Destination (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11% of 6,948 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 40 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Patrick McGrath's 40 archived rides, from 29 April 2017 to 26 October 2020, newest first — one winner among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Patrick McGrath's strike rate?
Patrick McGrath has won 1 of 40 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick McGrath's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Patrick McGrath·SR 2.5%·A/E 0.58
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy