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Jockey profile

Patrick McGrath

40 rides in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2020 95% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–40
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=40
5 (13%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=40 · 0.47 incl. margin
−37.00
£1 level stake
n=40 at SP · −92.5%
£12,514
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.5
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.5%+0.0
n=40 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −37.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.5
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2.5% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 33 0 0% −33.00
NH Flat 5 1 20% −2.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Kilbeggan 4 0 0% −4.00
Bellewstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Kelso 1 1 100% +2.00
Perth 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 2 1 50% +1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.25 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
7th+ in betting 33 0 0% 0.00 −33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.8% completed · 33 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 33 78.8% 1 2 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Streets Of Doyen (IRE) 5 0 0 31 Jul 20
Minella Mystics (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Sep 20
Mats Hall (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Aug 20
Light Myles Ahead (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Jan 19
Pat's Pearl (IRE) 2 0 0 25 Jul 20
Liars Corner (IRE) 2 0 1 10 Aug 19
Roi De Dubai (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Jun 19
Auntie Mary (IRE) 2 1 2 19 Sep 18
The Long Hall (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Aug 17
Helpisontheway (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Oct 20
The Bottom Bar (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Oct 20
Hand In My Pocket (IRE) 1 0 1 5 Sep 20
All 25 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000020000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
83% of all rides
3% SR · A/E 0.64
TrainerRWSR£1
John C McConnell 33 1 3% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
1
Archived wins
£12,514
Prize money
2018
Best season · 1 win
Auntie Mary (IRE) — Elliot Henderson & Son Contractors Standard Open NH Flat Race Kelso · Sep 2018 · Class 5
£2,924
Notable horses

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,339 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.
Gold Well (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,647 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Echo Of Light (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,633 runs since 2008 (126 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.6% from 373. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 160.
Ad Valorem (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,585 runs since 2008 (101 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 618. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.2% from 248.
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11% of 6,948 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 40 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Patrick McGrath's 40 archived rides, from 29 April 2017 to 26 October 2020, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick McGrath's strike rate?
Patrick McGrath has won 1 of 40 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick McGrath's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).