Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−8.3
n=16 · A/E 3.06 · £1 +63.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−14.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.3%−6.3
n=12 · A/E 2.93 · £1 +67.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 2.36 · £1 +3.90
Big fields · 14+ runners
20.7%+6.1
n=29 · A/E 2.77 · £1 +87.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)25520%+78.30
Soft700%−7.00
Heavy4125%+8.70
Good to Soft200%−2.00
Good200%−2.00
Good to Firm100%—
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)17529.4%+86.30
Chantilly (FR)800%−8.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)5120%+7.70
Longchamp (FR)200%−2.00
Craon (FR)200%−2.00
Savenay (FR)100%—
Senonnes-Pouance (FR)100%−1.00
Saint-Malo (FR)100%−1.00
Le Mans (FR)100%−1.00
Nantes (FR)100%−1.00
Argentan (FR)100%−1.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5240%2.36+3.90
2nd–3rd fav3133.3%2.98+3.50
4th–6th fav9111.1%1.52+0.90
7th+ in betting2328.7%3.24+67.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f1616.3%−11.20
1m2f – 1m4f14428.6%+19.20
1m5f – 2m600%−5.00
6f – 7f5120%+73.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2022100%—
2023200%−2.00
20247114.3%+71.00
202515426.7%+16.50
20261616.3%−9.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps31619.4%+85.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners28621.4%+88.00
11-13 runners1100%−10.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
8-10 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 16 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
33335020000000033
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
As Tu Vu (FR) — Prix du Tremblay (AQPS) (All-Weather) Lyon-La Soie · Nov 2013
£12,195
Felix Felicis (FR) — Prix de Rugles (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2025
£9,091
Felix Felicis (FR) — Prix du Chene de la Ferme de Socquentot (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Feb 2026
Progeny have won 10.2% of 974 runs since 2008 (148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 110. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.9% from 287. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 129. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 140.
Progeny have won 11.5% of 349 runs since 2014 (61 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 178 · newest first
The latest 50 of 178 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2006 to 9 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Richard Juteau's strike rate?
Richard Juteau has won 6 of 41 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Richard Juteau in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard Juteau's Fair A/E?
2.44, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Richard Juteau·SR 14.6%·A/E 2.44
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