No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 21.3%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 19% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
21.3%+2.3
n=47 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +5.10
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−19.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.1%−9.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E — · £1 +2.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.7%−12.3
n=15 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +10.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−19.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse21.3% vs 19% · n=47
In Flat races19% vs 19% · n=58 · A/E 1.40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)19421.1%+34.60
Good13538.5%+1.30
Good to Soft1200%−6.00
Soft10110%−4.00
Heavy4125%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)16212.5%+34.60
Nantes4125%−2.00
Chateaubriant300%−1.00
Pornichet-La Baule3266.7%—
Saint-Malo3133.3%−1.00
Toulouse3133.3%−2.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR)200%−2.00
Les Sables-d'Olonne200%−1.00
Seiches-Sur-Le-Loir2150%—
Le Mans (FR)200%−1.00
Angers200%—
La Teste De Buch2150%+3.30
Saint-Cloud (FR)200%−2.00
La Rochelle-Chatelaillon11100%—
Craon (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1600%−6.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3133.3%—+2.30
2nd–3rd fav800%0.00−8.00
4th–6th fav400%0.00−4.00
7th+ in betting18211.1%3.68+32.60
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f29620.7%+11.80
1m – 1m1f1417.1%−11.00
1m5f – 2m7228.6%+2.30
6f – 7f6116.7%+20.80
Under 6f2150%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2009100%—
201019315.8%−7.00
201116637.5%−1.70
201216212.5%+36.60
2013300%−2.00
2014300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9333.3%+19.80
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
2-4 runners24729.2%−4.00
14-16 runners1218.3%+13.80
11-13 runners7114.3%+17.80
5-7 runners700%−3.00
17+ runners300%−3.00
8-10 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 47 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000334003300332027
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→
11
Archived wins
£123k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 6 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Maistro (IRE) — Prix de Moulins la Marche (Handicap) (3yo) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2012
Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2011 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.
Pivotal (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Sinndar (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,410 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,417 runs since 2010 (137 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.1% from 239.
Majorien (GB)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.7% of 401 runs since 2008 (48 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 59 · newest first
The latest 50 of 59 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 October 2007 to 2 December 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Sebastien Castellier's strike rate?
Sebastien Castellier has won 11 of 58 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 19% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Sebastien Castellier·SR 19%·A/E 1.40
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