F Lemercier
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75).
The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (18.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (0% over 52 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Thierry Jarnet rode 21% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14.5% vs 5.2%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (9%, n=78). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.6% over 129 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Conseil de Paris at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2012, £61,750). The stable star of the record was Saga Dream (FR) — 8 wins from 36 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 270 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 270 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 October 2005 to 5 January 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is F Lemercier's strike rate?
- F Lemercier has won 14 of 268 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does F Lemercier do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for F Lemercier?
- Thierry Jarnet, with 55 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (14.5%).
- What is F Lemercier's Fair A/E?
- 0.75, from 257 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.