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Trainer profile

F Lemercier

268 runners in the lifetime window · 50 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2018 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
14–268
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=268
60 (22%)
Placed
0.75
Fair A/E
n=257 · 0.67 incl. margin
−140.70
£1 level stake
n=261 at SP · −53.9%
£533k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75).

Deterministic profile computed from 268 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Thierry Jarnet: 14.5% from 55
The read

The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (18.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (0% over 52 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Thierry Jarnet rode 21% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14.5% vs 5.2%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (9%, n=78). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.6% over 129 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Conseil de Paris at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2012, £61,750). The stable star of the record was Saga Dream (FR) — 8 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%−0.7
n=88 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −30.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.8%−0.4
n=21 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −15.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.2
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
26.7%
n=15 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +7.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.2
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
17.4%+12.2
n=23 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −0.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Longchamp (FR) 18.2% vs 5.2% · n=33
With Thierry Jarnet 14.5% vs 5.2% · n=55
At Chantilly (FR) 0% vs 5.2% · n=52
With Stephane Pasquier 0% vs 5.2% · n=38
On Standard (AW) going 1.6% vs 5.2% · n=129
Off a 15-30-day break 9% vs 5.2% · n=78
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 129 2 1.6% −87.00
Good 50 4 8% −29.90
Soft 39 2 5.1% −21.30
Good to Soft 27 4 14.8% +7.50
Heavy 21 2 9.5% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 89 2 2.2% −47.00
Chantilly (FR) 52 0 0% −52.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 50 2 4% −35.80
Longchamp (FR) 33 6 18.2% +3.90
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 22 1 4.5% −13.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Blain-Bouvron-Le-Gavre (FR) 2 0 0% —
Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vichy (FR) 2 1 50% +3.70
Vire (FR) 1 0 0% —
Argentan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau 1 1 100% +8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 23 4 17.4% −0.90

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 4 26.7% 1.19 +7.60
2nd–3rd fav 43 5 11.6% 0.93 −19.40
4th–6th fav 65 4 6.2% 0.78 −28.90
7th+ in betting 138 1 0.7% 0.24 −100.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Saga Dream (FR) 36 8 18 24 May 14
Landoun (FR) 24 0 8 18 Jan 16
Fee Vallio (FR) 20 0 7 5 Dec 17
Daliamoon (FR)then J Lemercier 18 2 5 24 Dec 12
Country Nevez (FR)from C Lotoux · then Mlle T Letort 10 1 4 5 Jan 18
Guignol's Band (FR) 10 1 3 11 Aug 16
Diable Adevayo (FR)from D De Waele · then Mlle S Le Corre 10 0 4 26 Feb 16
Saga Man (FR)then B Audouin 9 0 0 30 Oct 17
Natalex (FR)then J Thibault 8 0 1 10 Aug 17
Assidue (IRE) 8 0 0 19 Jun 15
Notre Archange (FR) 7 0 2 1 Mar 17
Should I Dream (FR) 7 0 0 24 Feb 17
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Lotoux (3) and F Chappet (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for B Audouin (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
404101156018300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderThierry Jarnet
21% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.36
RiderRWSR£1
Thierry Jarnet 55 8 14.5% −6.80
Stephane Pasquier 38 0 0% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
14
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£537k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Saga Dream (FR) — Prix du Conseil de Paris (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2012 · Group 2
£61,750
Saga Dream (FR) — Prix Exbury (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2013 · Group 3
£32,520
Saga Dream (FR) — Grand Prix De Vichy-Auvergne (3yo+) (Turf) Vichy (FR) · Jul 2013 · Group 3
£32,520

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sagacity (FR) 16.3% · 8–49
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,329 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.7% from 136.
Smadoun (FR) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,394 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 8% from 187.
Dunkerque (FR) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 6.6% of 574 runs since 2008 (57 horses).
Daliapour (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.4% of 617 runs since 2008 (64 horses).
Evasive (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,158 runs since 2008 (167 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.4% from 219.
Country Reel (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,191 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.4% from 149.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 270 · newest first

The latest 50 of 270 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 October 2005 to 5 January 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F Lemercier's strike rate?
F Lemercier has won 14 of 268 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does F Lemercier do best at?
Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for F Lemercier?
Thierry Jarnet, with 55 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (14.5%).
What is F Lemercier's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 257 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).