Soufyane Moulin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Rode mostly for C Boutin — 45% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (1.6% over 62 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=262, Fair A/E 0.74). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −67.20 to a £1 stake over 111 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. C Boutin supplied 45% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (1.5% vs 6.4%, A/E 0.40). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (11.5%, n=113) and on Good going (10.5%, n=76). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 53 rides, 6.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Aug–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 436 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 436 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 October 2009 to 27 April 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Soufyane Moulin's strike rate?
- Soufyane Moulin has won 28 of 436 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Soufyane Moulin do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 78 rides (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Soufyane Moulin ride most for?
- C Boutin, with 197 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (1.5%).
- What is Soufyane Moulin's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 422 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.