Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat1000%−10.00
Hurdle100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft400%−4.00
Standard (AW)400%−4.00
Heavy200%−2.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)600%−6.00
Chantilly (FR)200%−2.00
La Teste De Buch (FR)100%−1.00
Auteuil (FR)100%−1.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav100%0.00−1.00
4th–6th fav200%0.00−2.00
7th+ in betting800%0.00−8.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f800%−8.00
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20221000%−10.00
2024100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps600%−6.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners500%−5.00
14-16 runners300%−3.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
8-10 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 5 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.
1 has since run for another yard; 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Grey Soldier (IRE) — Grand Handicap de Deauville () (Straight Course) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2009 · Listed
£45,631
Naramix (FR) — Grand Handicap de Maisons-Laffitte (Left-Handed) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jul 2009
Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,832 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,067 runs since 2011 (112 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.8% from 277. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.4% from 145.
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,809 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 387 · newest first
The latest 50 of 387 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 March 2005 to 2 June 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is L A Urbano-Grajales's strike rate?
L A Urbano-Grajales has won 0 of 11 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
L A Urbano-Grajales·SR 0%·A/E 0.00
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