1:41 Stratford
A small but competitive Class 4 conditional jockeys' handicap hurdle over 2m6f7y at Stratford on good to firm ground brings together four runners, three of whom have previously won at the track. The KTB Fit scores separate them modestly, with Juan Bermudez heading the numbers on 67, followed by All Inn Hand on 58 and No More Bolero on 51, suggesting a race where course experience and run-style could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
With two habitual front-runners in Juan Bermudez and All Inn Hand, the pace shape is predicted to be strong and the early fractions could be demanding. This is likely to set things up for hold-up performers to close late if the leaders go too hard. The key question is whether the prominent pair can dictate matters and repel the closers, or whether the strong pace will cause it to collapse in the latter stages, favouring those ridden with patience.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Juan Bermudez KTB Selection67/100
Juan Bermudez is a smart performer who has won four times at Stratford from ten runs and looks to have solid course connections. Recent form has been mixed with a couple of wins this year but he was well held last time, while he has placed at today's trip without managing to win at it. The yard and jockey both have above-average strike rates here. As a habitual front-runner he is sure to set the pace from the outset in what is anticipated to be a strongly-run affair, and his record on good to firm includes one win from three starts. With an official rating of 109 and recent form figures of 2-2148, he arrives with every chance of adding to his tally at a venue where both trainer Henry Oliver and jockey Fern O'Brien perform well.
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2All Inn Hand58/100
All Inn Hand is a useful performer who has won over today's trip and at this track. Recent form has been patchy with three pulled-ups from his last five starts and he showed no spark last time. Trainer continues in solid form here while the jockey's modest strike-rate is offset by a strong A/E. He shares the front-running tendencies of the selection and will be prominent from the start, which could leave him vulnerable if the pace proves too strong as expected. With an official rating of 100 and recent form figures of 4-P4P0, his ability to handle good to firm remains unproven after a single run on the surface, yet his course win from three starts keeps him firmly in the picture.
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3No More Bolero51/100
No More Bolero is a smart performer who arrives in decent form having won twice and placed twice from his last five starts. He has shown he handles good to firm ground and has a solid course connection through his trainer, though his own run here produced only a modest fifth. Stepping up markedly in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question of him. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is ideally suited to the anticipated strong pace that could collapse, allowing him to come from off it. With an official rating of 107 and recent form figures of 3-1123, the combination of trainer James Owen's 19% strike rate at the track and his own placed efforts on good to firm give him a clear chance if the trip proves within range.
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4Alan Bresil46/100
Alan Bresil is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form this season but was well held when last seen over a longer trip. He drops back in distance today which asks a fresh question while the good to firm ground remains unproven after just one run on it. Trainer operates at a modest 8% strike rate here though the jockey has a strong 29% record from his 21 rides at the track.
KTB verdict
Juan Bermudez is the KTB Selection and looks to hold strong claims given his four wins from ten runs at Stratford and his record of placing at this trip. As a front-runner with above-average yard and jockey figures at the venue, he is expected to set a searching gallop that could play into the hands of the hold-up performers if it proves too strong. His main dangers are likely to be All Inn Hand, who also likes to lead and has won over the trip and course, and No More Bolero, who is in decent form, suited by a strong pace and stepping up in trip for the first time.
KTB Selection Juan Bermudez
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Bermudez | 11/4 | 7Bet |
| All Inn Hand | 4/1 | 7Bet |
| No More Bolero | 11/8 | Bet365 |
| Alan Bresil | 9/2 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:41 Stratford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Stratford racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Stratford results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Stratford?
Juan Bermudez has won four times from ten runs at the track.
How is the race expected to be run in terms of pace?
Strong pace is likely with two or more habitual front-runners, which could collapse late and favour hold-up horses.
Which runner is stepping up markedly in trip for the first time?
No More Bolero is stepping up markedly in trip for the first time today.
Who has the best jockey strike-rate statistic at Stratford among the conditional riders?
Joe Anderson has a 29% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 1.88 from 21 rides.
Which of the principals is a hold-up performer?
No More Bolero is a hold-up performer who usually produces his effort late.
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