Skip to content
Trainer profile

Nick Scholfield

251 runners in the last 5 seasons · 54 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 10.4% of 280 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.
Last runner 4 days ago 90% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
36–251
Wins / Runs
14.3%
Strike rate
n=251
72 (29%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=250 · 0.86 incl. margin
−27.31
£1 level stake
n=251 at SP · −10.9%
£487k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 251 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 37.8% when favourite Sends off the favourite in 15% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.7% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.55). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 15 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 14.3pts below the 14.3% baseline). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (20.6%, n=34) and off a 15-30-day break (18.8%, n=96). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 6.8% over 44 runners, 7.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle at Kelso (Mar 2026, £51,440). The stable star of the record: Morning Mayhem (GB) — 5 wins from 17 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%−7.6
n=30 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −6.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10.3%−4.0
n=39 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −7.38
Debutants · first career start
6.7%−7.6
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.7%−6.6
n=13 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −10.38
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
27.8%+13.5
n=18 · A/E 2.63 · £1 +27.50
When favourite
37.8%
n=37 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −4.81
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.3%−4.0
n=29 · A/E 0.60 · £1 +18.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+5.7
n=5 · A/E 1.96 · £1 −2.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 23.1% vs 14.3% · n=39
Off a 31-60-day break 6.8% vs 14.3% · n=44
Beyond 3m 20.6% vs 14.3% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 18.8% vs 14.3% · n=96
With horses switching code 8.6% vs 14.3% · n=35
With Jack Quinlan 18.8% vs 14.3% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 158 25 15.8% +0.57
Chase 53 7 13.2% +0.00
Flat 25 2 8% −17.50
NH Flat 15 2 13.3% −10.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 116 14 12.1% −27.81
Good to Soft 52 7 13.5% +2.74
Good to Firm 33 4 12.1% −14.37
Soft 22 5 22.7% −7.25
Heavy 18 4 22.2% +21.88
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% −4.50
Firm 1 1 100% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 24 5 20.8% +8.00
Fontwell 18 2 11.1% −9.62
Stratford 16 1 6.3% −13.62
Chepstow 13 1 7.7% −5.00
Market Rasen 11 0 0% −11.00
Hereford 11 3 27.3% +5.00
Worcester 11 2 18.2% +6.50
Taunton 11 1 9.1% −8.50
Fakenham 9 3 33.3% +3.92
Lingfield 9 1 11.1% −7.67
Wincanton 9 2 22.2% +5.44
Uttoxeter 8 2 25% +24.75
Sandown 7 1 14.3% −4.50
Huntingdon 7 1 14.3% −5.00
Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 107 17 15.9% +1.50
Class 4 89 10 11.2% −36.56
Class 2 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Class 3 14 6 42.9% +20.75
Class 1 9 1 11.1% −6.50
Class 6 8 1 12.5% −3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 15 34.1% 0.91 −9.31
2nd–3rd fav 64 8 12.5% 0.64 −31.50
4th–6th fav 84 9 10.7% 1.41 +15.50
7th+ in betting 59 4 6.8% 2.28 −2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.3% completed · 211 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 53 83% 2 0 7 0 0
Hurdle 158 86.1% 1 1 19 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Raffles Nobu (FR)from Nicky Henderson 19 1 4 17 Oct 26
Edgewell (IRE)from Rebecca Menzies 18 4 5 6 Sep 26
Morning Mayhem (GB)from Peter John Flood 17 5 9 9 Oct 26
Alan Bresil (GB) 12 0 0 17 Oct 26
Theheatison (GB) 10 1 4 17 Oct 26
Limerick Leader (FR)from Alison Thorpe 9 3 4 13 Oct 26
Queenie St Clair (IRE)from E Sheehy 8 3 3 9 Oct 26
Devon Red (GB) 7 0 1 13 Oct 26
Premier Fantasy (IRE)from Bradley Gibbs 7 0 4 5 Oct 26
Lacrima (FR)from Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm 7 1 1 22 Sep 26
Slaney Opera (IRE)from Ruth Jefferson · then John Wainwright 7 0 1 24 Jul 26
Gabbys Cross (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead · then Georgina Nicholls 7 0 2 25 Apr 26
All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (3) and Seamus Mullins (3); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
0 from 15 0% · −14.3pts vs baseline
Last 14 days0%
5-season base14.3%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
20261611582616190524
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Reed
20% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 1.24
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Reed 49 7 14.3% −3.62
Jack Quinlan 32 6 18.8% −7.81
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
36
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£487k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 31 wins
Queenie St Clair (IRE) — BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2026 · Class 2
£51,440
St Irene (IRE) — Byerley Stud Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Taunton · Dec 2025 · Listed
£25,628
Morning Mayhem (GB) — Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle Race Cartmel · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£11,004
Notable horses
Morning Mayhem (GB) Bollin Thou (GB) Edgewell (IRE) Limerick Leader (FR) Queenie St Clair (IRE) Mi Sueno (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Authorized (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,021 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Well Chosen (GB) 22.2% · 4–18
Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,916 runs since 2008 (155 horses).
Dragon Dancer (GB) 29.4% · 5–17
Progeny have won 8.8% of 566 runs since 2008 (80 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,489 runs since 2008 (454 horses).
Too Darn Hot (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 14.1% of 2,318 runs since 2008 (319 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
Joshua Tree (IRE) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 832 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 22% from 159. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 251 · newest first

The latest 50 of 251 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 November 2025 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Stratford Raffles Nobu (FR)J: Anna McGuinness Annual Membership For Christmas Female Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 17/2
17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Thurlestone (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Pertemps Network "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 20/1
17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Alan Bresil (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 6th 25/1
17 Oct 26 Stratford Seamy Appletart (IRE)J: Harry Reed Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/1
17 Oct 26 Ascot Theheatison (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 5th 200/1
15 Oct 26 Fontwell Glen To Glen (IRE)J: Harry Reed BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran F 17/2
13 Oct 26 Hereford Devon Red (GB)J: Harry Reed Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 5/1
13 Oct 26 Southwell Limerick Leader (FR)J: Sean Bowen Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 3 ran PU 1/1F
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Glen To Glen (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow 'four Years Old' Hurdle Race (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 22/1
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Raffles Nobu (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 13/2
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Handmedownastar (IRE)J: Sean Bowen DragonBet Persian War Novices' Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 20/1
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Queenie St Clair (IRE)J: Sean Bowen DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 33/1
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Morning Mayhem (GB)J: Kielan Woods DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 2nd 14/1
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Little Lady Rock (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/4
09 Oct 26 York Theheatison (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa British Ebf £100,000 Final (colts And Geldings)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 6/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Luan (FR)J: Billy Loughnane Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 8th 11/2
07 Oct 26 Worcester Finjimk (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 22/1
06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Thurlestone (IRE)J: James Bowen Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 10/1
05 Oct 26 Stratford Premier Fantasy (IRE)J: Harry Reed Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 3/1J
05 Oct 26 Stratford Alan Bresil (GB)J: Joe Anderson QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nick Scholfield's strike rate?
Nick Scholfield has won 36 of 251 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Nick Scholfield in form?
In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 14.3% since 2022.
What is Nick Scholfield's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 250 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).