3:55 Plumpton
A small but competitive Class 5 handicap hurdle at Plumpton over 1m7f207y on good ground sees four runners line up. The KTB Fit scores highlight one clear standout at 74 while the other three cluster between 54 and 44, suggesting a race where class and course knowledge could prove decisive. With no obvious front-runner, the shape is expected to be tactical and muddling.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as muddling and tactical with medium confidence, as no horse is an obvious front-runner. Both Stroll On By and Ez Tiger like to race prominently and handily, which should see them track any early pace closely in what is likely to become a steadily run affair. Crest of Arms and Basilette prefer to be held up and produce their efforts from off the pace, meaning the key question will be whether the race falls into a rhythm that allows the prominent pair an advantage or if the closers can time their runs effectively from the back.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Stroll On By KTB Selection74/100
Stroll On By is a useful performer who arrives here off the back of mixed form that included a fall on his final start. He has shown ability at today's trip without winning and holds a solid record on good ground with two wins and ten places from 18 starts. The yard records an 18% strike rate at Plumpton from 158 runs while jockey Lilly Pinchin is operating above her usual level with a 26% strike rate here from 23 rides. Dropping in class looks a positive and his prominent run-style, usually racing handily on or close to the lead, should be well suited to the anticipated muddling pace. Recent form reads 255FU- and he carries an official rating of 102 as a 9-year-old.
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2Ez Tiger54/100
Ez Tiger is a useful performer who has won three times from six starts at Plumpton. He arrives in form after a recent course-and-distance success and has a solid record on good ground with five wins from 20 starts. The trainer's 14% strike rate here from 132 runs is above his overall figure while the jockey's 9% strike rate from 75 rides at the track is in line with his record elsewhere. Usually racing prominently with high-confidence run-style, he should be well placed in a tactical affair. His recent form is 1-2791 and at the age of 9 he is rated 102.
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3Crest of Arms49/100
Crest of Arms is a useful performer on the evidence of an official rating of 100 and recent placed efforts at this trip. He has shown enough at Plumpton already to suggest the track suits, while the yard’s 25% strike rate here from 198 runs is above their record elsewhere. The jockey’s 14% strike rate at the course from 49 rides sits in line with his overall figure and the small-sample family background is solid enough, as he is a half-brother to Two Swallows who won 4 from 15 and the dam has had 12 other runners of which 8 were winners. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the muddling pace. Dropping in class is another plus and his recent form is 77P-23 as a 4-year-old.
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4Basilette44/100
Basilette is a useful performer who has been consistent this year and ran well when second here last time. She has a win at today's trip and two placed efforts from just two runs at Plumpton. The trainer's small sample at the track from two runs is impossible to judge while the jockey's 5% strike rate here from 88 rides sits in line with his record elsewhere. Usually held up with high confidence, her recent form is 4-4133 and she is rated 102 as a 7-year-old dropping in class.
KTB verdict
Stroll On By stands out on the KTB Fit ratings and looks the one to beat. A useful performer with a good record on good ground and the benefit of a prominent run-style in a muddling race, he is dropping in class with the yard and jockey both showing strong figures at Plumpton. Ez Tiger is the obvious danger given his excellent course record of three wins from six starts and recent C&D success, while Crest of Arms is another who can go well if the race sets up for a late run.
KTB Selection Stroll On By
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:14am, 5 Nov. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Stroll On By | 3/1 | William Hill, 12:01am |
| Ez Tiger | 9/4 | Coral, 12:01am |
| Crest of Arms | 2/1 | Bet365, 12:01am |
| Basilette | 9/2 | Bet365, 12:01am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:55 Plumpton. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Plumpton racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Plumpton results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Plumpton racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Plumpton?
Ez Tiger has won three times from six starts at Plumpton.
How does the race's pace shape influence the principals?
The muddling, tactical pace should suit those ridden close to the pace, with both Stroll On By and Ez Tiger usually racing prominently and handily.
What is the family background for Crest of Arms?
Half-brother to Two Swallows (4 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 12 other runners, 8 of them winners.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Plumpton among those represented?
Anthony Honeyball has a 25% strike rate at Plumpton from 198 runs.
On what ground has Stroll On By shown his best form?
Stroll On By holds a solid record on good ground with two wins and ten places from 18 starts.
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