What is Alex Hales's strike rate?

Alex Hales has won 77 of 818 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alex Hales do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 runners (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alex Hales?

Kielan Woods, with 316 runners since 2022 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (11.1%).

Is Alex Hales in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alex Hales's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 815 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alex Hales

818 runners in the last 5 seasons · 104 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

77–818

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=818

246 (30%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=815 · 0.72 incl. margin

−184.50

£1 level stake

n=818 at SP · −22.6%

£995k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 818 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jul 28.4% when favourite Kielan Woods: 11.1% from 316 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (17.5%, n=63) and Plumpton (17.6%, n=34) — all clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.35). Kielan Woods rides 39% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 0.90). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2% over 50 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices' Chase at Aintree (Apr 2022, £68,721). The stable star of the record: Hiconic (GB) — 7 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.1%−0.3

n=197 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −63.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

4%−5.4

n=25 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −12.00

Debutants · first career start

9.5%+0.1

n=42 · A/E 1.95 · £1 −4.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%−1.1

n=36 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +24.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4%−5.4

n=25 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −18.50

When favourite

28.4%

n=74 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −17.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.2%−6.2

n=93 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −59.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−4.6

n=21 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Bryan Carver 16.7% vs 9.4% · n=126

At Worcester 17.5% vs 9.4% · n=63

With C&D winners 16.9% vs 9.4% · n=65

In Flat races 2% vs 9.4% · n=50

At Plumpton 17.6% vs 9.4% · n=34

With claiming riders up 3.2% vs 9.4% · n=93

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 508 48 9.4% −38.51

Chase 199 24 12.1% −73.49

NH Flat 61 4 6.6% −28.50

Flat 50 1 2% −44.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 361 40 11.1% −41.77

Good to Soft 207 17 8.2% −37.20

Soft 153 12 7.8% −80.87

Heavy 42 7 16.7% +24.34

Standard (AW) 42 1 2.4% −36.00

Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell 75 4 5.3% +6.50

Market Rasen 70 5 7.1% −44.25

Worcester 63 11 17.5% +31.95

Huntingdon 63 5 7.9% −15.55

Warwick 59 4 6.8% −35.50

Uttoxeter 44 6 13.6% +78.00

Stratford 40 5 12.5% −24.50

Plumpton 34 6 17.6% −8.25

Fakenham 29 7 24.1% +9.25

Doncaster 27 1 3.7% −23.50

Fontwell 24 3 12.5% −6.25

Hereford 23 0 0% −23.00

Ludlow 20 2 10% −10.00

Newbury 16 1 6.3% −10.00

Bangor-on-Dee 15 1 6.7% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 338 31 9.2% −0.58

Class 4 302 33 10.9% −60.59

Class 3 82 6 7.3% −62.46

Class 2 40 5 12.5% −18.87

Class 6 33 1 3% −27.00

Class 1 23 1 4.3% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 84 21 25% 0.82 −27.20

2nd–3rd fav 208 29 13.9% 0.80 −61.80

4th–6th fav 309 16 5.2% 0.65 −162.50

7th+ in betting 217 11 5.1% 1.63 +67.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.9% completed · 707 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 199 75.9% 6 8 34 0 0

Hurdle 508 88.4% 8 5 46 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gone In Sixty (GB) 44 2 21 17 Oct 26

Ez Tiger (IRE)from Aidan Fitzgerald 30 6 13 19 Oct 26

Hiconic (GB)from Mick Channon 28 3 9 16 Jun 26

Kankin (GB) 25 2 11 13 Dec 25

Inclement Weather (GB) 23 1 7 20 Jun 24

Has Troke (FR)from Alain Couetil 22 3 8 17 Feb 26

Happy And Fine (FR)from Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet 21 5 8 11 Apr 26

Our Bill's Aunt (IRE) 21 3 10 4 Feb 26

The Secret Pearl (IRE) 20 2 6 23 Aug 26

Looking As You Are (GB) 18 4 10 28 Mar 26

No Risk With Lou (FR) 18 4 7 17 Nov 25

Belcamo (GB)from Andrew Balding 17 1 4 24 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 104 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charlie Mann (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Murphy (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

313613121711531769

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKielan Woods

39% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 0.90

RiderRWSR£1

Kielan Woods 316 35 11.1% −15.72

Harry Bannister 151 8 5.3% −107.13

Bryan Carver 126 21 16.7% +14.60

Harriet Tucker 36 1 2.8% −13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

304

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.78m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Millers Bank (GB) — SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2022 · Grade 1

£68,721

Smooth Stepper (GB) — Unibet Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Haydock · Feb 2020 · Grade 3

£56,950

Big Jim (GB) — Waitrose Novices' Handicap Chase Ascot · Apr 2016 · Class 2

£25,024

Notable horses

Hiconic (GB) Take Two (GB) Ultimatum Du Roy (FR) Shinooki (IRE) Ez Tiger (IRE) Millers Bank (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sixties Icon (GB) 6.9% · 5–72

Progeny have won 10% of 5,665 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,331.

Passing Glance (GB) 10.3% · 6–58

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

No Risk At All (FR) 18.2% · 6–33

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,107 runs since 2008 (430 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 941.

Sholokhov (IRE) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Balko (FR) 20.7% · 6–29

Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,646 runs since 2008 (296 horses).

Linda's Lad (GB) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,312 runs since 2008 (183 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,308 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,308 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Ez Tiger (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 2/1F

17 Oct 26 Stratford Crown Of India (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Value With Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Gone In Sixty (GB)J: Kielan Woods Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 2/1F

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Lord Of The Glance (GB)J: Bryan Carver tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Best Women (IRE)J: Kielan Woods FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Away For The Night (IRE)J: Bryan Carver CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Hiero Sport (FR)J: Kielan Woods Malton Marquees Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Spanish Darling (FR)J: Kielan Woods FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 1st 12/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Crown Of India (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

01 Oct 26 Southwell Gone In Sixty (GB)J: Sean Bowen Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 2/1F

10 Sep 26 Worcester Harry Gulliver (GB)J: Bryan Carver CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/4

05 Sep 26 Stratford Gone In Sixty (GB)J: Sean Bowen Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/4F

05 Sep 26 Stratford Lord Of The Glance (GB)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 1/1F

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Hiero Sport (FR)J: Jonathan Burke Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 18/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Drombeg Lad (GB)J: Kielan Woods Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/2

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Lord Of The Glance (GB)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Mountain Goat Tours Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Harry Gulliver (GB)J: Bryan Carver Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 10/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester The Secret Pearl (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Neu-Servo Supports Larsen's Pride Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 1st 12/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Ez Tiger (IRE)J: Bryan Carver You Spindle Me Rightround Baby Rightround Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Crown Of India (IRE)J: Kielan Woods You Spindle Me Rightround Baby Rightround Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 6th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alex Hales's strike rate?: Alex Hales has won 77 of 818 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alex Hales do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 runners (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alex Hales?: Kielan Woods, with 316 runners since 2022 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (11.1%).
Is Alex Hales in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alex Hales's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 815 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.