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Trainer profile

Alvaro Vieira Carvalho

8 runners in the last 5 seasons · 2 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2023 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
1–8
Wins / Runs
12.5%
Strike rate
n=8
1 (13%)
Placed
4.56
n=8 · 3.76 incl. margin
+2.90
£1 level stake
n=8 at SP · +36.3%
£13,597
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
20%+7.5
n=5 · A/E 7.53 · £1 +5.90
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
100%+87.5
n=1 · A/E 13.08 · £1 +9.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+7.5
n=5 · A/E 6.97 · £1 +5.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 7 1 14.3% +3.90
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Strasbourg (FR) 2 1 50% +8.90
Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 1 1 100% 13.08 +9.90
7th+ in betting 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 8 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 71.4% 1 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 1 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vent Du Soir (FR)from Yannick Fouin 5 0 0 21 May 23
Cutting King (FR)from Yannick Fouin 3 1 1 24 Sep 22
All 2 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 2 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Yannick Fouin (2).

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Hakim Tabet 2 1 50% +8.90
Corentin Smeulders 2 0 0% −2.00
Swann Garcia 1 0 0% −1.00
Alexandre Chesneau 1 0 0% −1.00
Nathan Howie 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Elliot Ohgren 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
1
Archived wins
£13,978
Prize money
2022
Best season · 1 win
Cutting King (FR) — Prix Alexandre Le Grand (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Strasbourg (FR) · May 2022
£8,319
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Turgeon (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,189 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 268.
Kingsalsa (USA) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,991 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 12 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Alvaro Vieira Carvalho's 12 archived runners, from 8 June 2020 to 21 May 2023, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alvaro Vieira Carvalho's strike rate?
Alvaro Vieira Carvalho has won 1 of 8 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).