Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 33.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
33.3%+0.0
n=3 · A/E 5.90 · £1 +2.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−33.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
33.3%+0.0
n=3 · A/E 12.83 · £1 +12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%−8.3
n=4 · A/E 11.78 · £1 +11.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
50%+16.7
n=2 · A/E 5.80 · £1 +3.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 33.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft3133.3%+2.50
Good to Firm200%−2.00
Good to Soft11100%+14.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ascot4125%+1.50
Doncaster11100%+14.00
Deauville (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 24125%+11.00
Class 12150%+3.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav11100%6.47+4.50
7th+ in betting5120%10.77+10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f200%−2.00
Under 6f22100%+18.50
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
1m – 1m1f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20152150%+13.00
20162150%+3.50
2021100%−1.00
2023100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4125%+11.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners4125%+11.00
8-10 runners2150%+3.50
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 4 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 4 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 3 had their first archived run for this yard.
None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Easy Road (GB) — Betdaq.com 2% Commission Handicap Doncaster · Oct 2015 · Class 2
£28,013
Easy Road (GB) — Ascot And Camra 10th Anniversary Rous Stakes (Listed) Ascot · Oct 2016 · Listed
Progeny have won 12.6% of 755 runs since 2017 (118 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.6% from 108.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 8 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Cathrine Erichsen's 8 archived runners, from 19 November 2005 to 24 June 2023, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Cathrine Erichsen's strike rate?
Cathrine Erichsen has won 2 of 6 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 33.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Cathrine Erichsen·SR 33.3%·A/E 8.09
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