Skip to content
Trainer profile

James J Kelly

57 runners in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 9 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2007
Archive record 2005–2007
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 20 Mar 2005 to 8 Nov 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
2–57
Wins / Runs
3.5%
Strike rate
n=57
4 (7%)
Placed
0.83
n=57 · 0.60 incl. margin
−31.00
£1 level stake
n=57 at SP · −54.4%
£11,962
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−3.5
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 0% vs 3.5% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 39 0 0% −39.00
Hurdle 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Chase 5 1 20% +16.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 1 5.9% −12.00
Good to Firm 14 1 7.1% +7.00
Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tipperary 8 1 12.5% −3.00
Curragh 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 5 1 20% +16.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 5 1 20% 1.62 +0.00
4th–6th fav 11 1 9.1% 2.06 +10.00
7th+ in betting 41 0 0% 0.00 −41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Straycat Strut (IRE) 20 2 3 8 Nov 07
Perfect Memory (IRE)then C P Donoghue 8 0 0 23 Oct 05
Vita Brevis (IRE) 7 0 0 22 Jun 06
Vade Retro (IRE) 5 0 0 7 Aug 05
Time Ticker (IRE) 2 0 0 13 May 06
The Banger Doyle (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Apr 07
Citizen (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Jul 06
Itsachopperbaby (IRE) 1 0 0 28 Apr 05
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 2 have since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
··00013140000·
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
G Cotter 10 2 20% +16.00
Shane Gorey 6 0 0% −6.00
Tadhg O'Shea 5 0 0% −5.00
James Sullivan 5 0 0% −5.00
Adrian Lane 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael Hussey 3 0 0% −3.00
Jerry O'Dwyer 3 0 0% −3.00
R M Burke 3 0 0% −3.00
W J O'Connor 2 0 0% −2.00
Helen Keohane 2 0 0% −2.00
C D Allen 1 0 0% −1.00
D T Evans 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£11,962
Prize money
2006
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Straycat Strut (IRE) — Yolanda O'Gorman Memorial Beginners Chase Ballinrobe · Jul 2006
£7,256
Straycat Strut (IRE) — Tipperary Publicans & Restaurants Maiden Hurdle Tipperary · Jun 2005
£1,610
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fasliyev (USA) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 8.7% of 6,505 runs since 2005 (449 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 172.
Indian Lodge (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.2% of 929 runs since 2005 (73 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.8% from 219. Weakest on Soft going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 11.4% from 289. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.5% from 156.
Nashwan (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,043 runs since 2005 (94 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 6.2% from 129. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 135.
Titus Livius (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.9% of 3,715 runs since 2005 (218 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.3% from 122.
Desert Sun (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,471 runs since 2005 (144 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 818. Weakest on Soft going: 4.3% from 281.
Mark Of Esteem (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,754 runs since 2005 (347 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 57 · newest first

The latest 50 of 57 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 8 November 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 06 Cork Whatwodmyrasay (IRE)J: Shane Gorey Ballyclough Maiden8.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 8th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James J Kelly's strike rate?
James J Kelly has won 2 of 57 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is James J Kelly's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 57 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.